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Bank Nifty hits record high on CRR Cut Optimism

Could Bank Nifty sprint from ₹57,000 to ₹58,500 thanks to the RBI’s bold move?

Bank Nifty hits record high on CRR Cut Optimism

Before June, Bank Nifty was parked around ₹56,000 after weeks of consolidation. On 6 June 2025, the RBI surprised markets with a 50 bps repo rate cut (to 5.5%) and a 100 bps CRR cut (to 3%), injecting roughly ₹2.5 lakh crore of liquidity into the system. By 9 June, Bank Nifty surged past ₹57,000, closing at ₹57,049.50, a fresh all‑time high.

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Key numbers at a glance

MetricValue
Repo rate (post‑cut)5.5%
CRR3% (cut by 100 bps)
Liquidity injected₹2.5 lakh crore
Bank Nifty closing high₹57,049.50
Jump from ₹56,000 range+~₹1,000
Loan growth target (FY26)11–12% (up from 9.8% in May 2025)
NIM boost estimate (FY26–27)+7–12 bps
EMI relief (on ₹1 cr home loan)≈ ₹3,100/month
Liquidity surplus (5 June)₹3 tn (from ₹–2.2 tn on 14 Mar)

Why this matters for banks

  • Margin support: CRR reduction frees up ₹2.5 lakh crore of capital. Brokerages expect 7–12 bps improvement in margins for midsize and private banks.
  • Stronger lending: Fresh loan rates dropped 6 bps, and existing loans dropped 17 bps (Feb–Apr 2025). Credit growth is expected at an 11–12% rate in FY26.
  • Excess liquidity: RBI actions turned a ₹2.2 tn deficit in March into a ₹3 tn surplus by early June—nearly ₹5 tn added in three months.

Technical outlook: Is ₹58,500 in sight?

Bank Nifty broke out above its 20‑day trend line with bullish candles. Support lies near ₹56,200–56,900, with resistance around ₹57,500–58,500. Analysts believe there’s room to rally toward ₹58,500–58,900 if it stays above ₹56,000.

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Top banks to watch

BankReason to watch
Kotak MahindraLed gains on 9 June (+3.2%) as private bank star
AU Small Finance, Canara, Federal, Axis, PNBUp 1–3% after policy tweak
HDFC & AxisHigh loan‑to‑deposit ratios; strong margin tailwinds
IndusInd & Federal BankMid‑tier banks expected to benefit most

NBFCs such as Bajaj Finance, Chola and Shriram have also rallied, benefiting from lower rates and solid loan flows.

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Backing the economics

The RBI’s move reflects caution – 6.5% GDP growth in FY25 (slowest in four years) and inflation below 4%. The central bank switched from “accommodative” to “neutral”, signalling readiness to act based on future data.

Why millennials and Gen‑Z should care

  • Cheaper EMIs = more disposable income for travel, learning or investing.
  • Higher credit access = easier to get that first home or startup loan.
  • Stock opportunity = financials could outperform as margins and loans improve.

Final takeaway

The RBI’s double move – 50 bps rate cut and 100 bps CRR slash – was a reset for markets. Bank Nifty breaking ₹57,000 with a realistic path to ₹58,500 signals confidence in growth, better margins, and faster loans. If you’re bullish on credit‑led growth, this could be the defining rally of FY26.

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Ayesha Khan

Ayesha Khan is an experienced financial journalist with a passion for breaking down complex economic and market news for a broad audience. With over a decade of reporting on global financial trends, she has covered everything from stock market movements to macroeconomic shifts and regulatory changes. Ayesha specializes in providing clear, concise analysis of financial events, helping readers stay informed and make well-rounded decisions. Through her writing, she brings the latest industry insights to the forefront, bridging the gap between financial experts and the general public.

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