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Ideaforge shares rise despite Q4 loss

Can a 20% stock rally mask a steep financial dive?

Ideaforge shares rise despite Q4 loss

Ideaforge Technology, a prominent player in India’s drone manufacturing sector, has reported a challenging financial performance for the fiscal year 2024-25. The company posted a consolidated net loss of ₹25.71 crore in Q4 FY25, a significant downturn from a net profit of ₹10.33 crore in Q4 FY24. This marks the third consecutive quarter of losses for Ideaforge.

Revenue from operations also saw a steep decline, falling 80.15% year-on-year to ₹20.31 crore in Q4 FY25, compared to ₹102.30 crore in the same quarter the previous year.

Also read: Voltas profit doubles in Q4 to ₹236 Cr on strong growth

Financial snapshot: FY25 vs. FY24

MetricQ4 FY25Q4 FY24
Revenue (₹ crore)20.31102.30
Operating Profit Margin (%)-107.5814.56
EBITDA (₹ crore)-17.6719.96
PBT (₹ crore)-25.6914.14
Net Profit/Loss (₹ crore)-25.7110.33

For the full fiscal year, Ideaforge reported a net loss of ₹62.28 crore, a stark contrast to the ₹45.27 crore net profit in FY24. Annual revenue also declined by 48.66%, from ₹314.00 crore in FY24 to ₹161.22 crore in FY25.

Share price movement

Despite the dismal financials, Ideaforge’s share price surged by 20% on May 9, 2025, hitting an upper circuit at ₹463.20 on the BSE. This rally occurred even as the company reported its third consecutive quarterly loss. 

Analysts attribute this unexpected surge to geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, which have heightened interest in defence-related stocks, including drone manufacturers like Ideaforge.

You may also read: PNB Q4 result highlights

Revenue composition:

In Q4 FY25, civil contracts accounted for 96% of Ideaforge’s revenue, with defence contracts contributing the remaining 4%. However, for the entire fiscal year, the revenue split was 59% from defence and 41% from civil contracts. 

The company’s CEO, Ankit Mehta, cited a slowdown in government procurement of drones as a significant factor impacting revenue. He noted that while there was latent demand, progress towards procurement initiatives was slow, particularly in the first part of the year, due to general elections. However, he mentioned that the industry started to regain momentum towards the end of the year.

You may also read: HPCL Q4 result analysis

Operational challenges and outlook

Ideaforge’s expenses for Q4 FY25 stood at ₹50.4 crore, up 18% quarter-on-quarter but down 46% year-on-year. The company’s order book at the end of Q4 FY25 was ₹13.6 crore, a decrease from ₹20.7 crore in the previous quarter. 

The company’s stock has experienced significant volatility, with a 52-week range between ₹301.00 and ₹864.10. Despite the recent rally, the stock remains down approximately 70% from its all-time high.

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Conclusion

Ideaforge’s financial performance in FY25 reflects the challenges faced by the drone industry in India, including regulatory hurdles and fluctuating demand. While recent geopolitical developments have sparked investor interest, the company’s long-term prospects will depend on its ability to secure consistent contracts and manage operational costs effectively.

Investors should closely monitor Ideaforge’s upcoming quarters for signs of recovery and sustained growth in both the civil and defence sectors.

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Rishi Gupta

Rishi Gupta is a dynamic day trader known for his quick decision-making and strategic approach to short-term market movements. With years of experience in high-frequency trading and chart analysis, Rishi specializes in spotting intraday trends and capitalizing on price fluctuations. His trading philosophy is rooted in discipline, risk control, and technical analysis. Through his writing, Rishi aims to help aspiring day traders understand the nuances of short-term trading, with an emphasis on risk-reward ratios, momentum, and timing.

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