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IndusInd Bank shares rally 5% after RBI’s positive outlook – What’s next?

After a sharp 28% plunge, IndusInd Bank’s stock rebounds 5%. Is it a real recovery or just a temporary bounce?

IndusInd Bank shares rally 5% after RBI’s positive outlook – What’s next?

After a turbulent week where IndusInd Bank’s share price dropped 28%, investors finally saw some relief. On March 18, 2025, the stock rebounded 5.19% to ₹707 per share, following a statement from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) that reassured investors about the bank’s strong capital position.

However, concerns remain due to an estimated ₹2,100 crore accounting discrepancy, which had previously triggered a sharp sell-off. With the RBI asking IndusInd Bank’s board to complete corrective actions by Q4 FY25, many investors are wondering—is this rally sustainable, or just a dead cat bounce?

Also read: INDUSIND Bank stock analysis and expert insights in detail

What did the RBI say?

The RBI issued a statement confirming that IndusInd Bank:

The RBI also directed IndusInd Bank to:

  • Fix the ₹2,100 crore accounting issue by the end of March
  • Engage external auditors for a detailed review
  • Make all required disclosures to stakeholders

Why did IndusInd Bank shares crash 28%?

The stock’s decline was triggered by the bank’s admission of an accounting discrepancy related to its derivatives valuation, which had an estimated impact of 2.35% on its net worth.

HDFC Mutual Fund increases stake in IndusInd Bank

While retail investors were wary, HDFC Mutual Fund saw an opportunity. The fund house increased its holdings from 4.82% to 5.02% by purchasing an additional 15.92 lakh shares on March 11, 2025.

This move signals institutional confidence in the bank’s fundamentals despite the recent controversy.

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Should you buy IndusInd Bank shares now?

Reasons to be optimistic

RBI assurance: The regulator has reaffirmed the bank’s strong financial position.
Capital strength: The bank’s 16.46% CAR and 113% LCR indicate stability.
Institutional support: HDFC Mutual Fund’s increased stake suggests confidence in long-term value.
Potential for recovery: The stock already rebounded 5%, showing signs of stabilisation.

Reasons to be cautious

Accounting discrepancy concerns: The ₹2,100 crore issue is still under investigation.
High volatility: The stock saw a 37% drop in 20 trading sessions, and more fluctuations could follow.
Bearish sentiment: Some analysts believe this is a temporary bounce, with downside risks still present.
Analyst downgrades: Firms like Kotak Securities and Mirae Asset have revised their targets lower.

Brokerage views on IndusInd Bank stock

BrokerageRatingTarget PriceReasoning
ICICI SecuritiesReduce₹850Internal control concerns due to derivatives issue
Kotak SecuritiesReduce₹750Uncertainty over leadership and derivatives losses
Mirae AssetHold₹750CFO resignation and regulatory scrutiny concerns
Lakshmishree Investment & SecuritiesCautious₹551 (support level)High volatility and possible further correction

While some brokerages maintain optimism, others advise caution due to ongoing risks.

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Final thoughts

The 5% rally is encouraging, but investors should proceed with caution. The stock remains volatile, and much depends on how the bank resolves its ₹2,100 crore accounting issue. Short-term investors: Might want to wait for clarity before making a move.
Long-term investors: Could consider accumulating at lower levels, given the bank’s strong capital base.

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Ayesha Khan

Ayesha Khan is an experienced financial journalist with a passion for breaking down complex economic and market news for a broad audience. With over a decade of reporting on global financial trends, she has covered everything from stock market movements to macroeconomic shifts and regulatory changes. Ayesha specializes in providing clear, concise analysis of financial events, helping readers stay informed and make well-rounded decisions. Through her writing, she brings the latest industry insights to the forefront, bridging the gap between financial experts and the general public.

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