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Markets rebound sharply after Budget shock as late buying sparks recovery

A last-hour rally, heavyweights stepping in, and easing volatility — was this a relief bounce or the start of stability?

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The Sensex bounced hard from an intraday low of 80,387.25 to an intraday high of 81,732 — a swing of 1,345 points. It finally closed at 81,666, up 944 points (1.17%).

The Nifty50 traded between 24,679 and 25,108, and finished at 25,088, up 263 points (1.06%).

The broader market joined the recovery too:

Nifty Midcap rose 0.9%

Nifty Smallcap gained 0.6%

Another sign of easing stress: the market’s “fear gauge” (India VIX) fell 8%, showing that the panic levels cooled down compared to the previous session.

Impact on the stock market

Sector-wise performance

Auto stocks led the charge: Nifty Auto up 2.14%

Metal stocks followed: Nifty Metal up 1.8%

Realty stocks also did well: Nifty Realty up 1.6%

The only sector that didn’t join the party was IT, with Nifty IT down 0.5%

Sector/IndexPerformance
IT & BPM sector-0.47%
Healthcare sector-0.08%
Oil & Gas sector2.04%
Real estate sector1.61%
PSU Bank in India0.87%

Top gainers today

CompanyShare Price (in ₹)Change %
Power Grid Corp270.407.58
TMPV362.905.30
Adani Ports1,403.104.33
TATA Cons. Prod1,125.403.50
Bharat Elec439.103.23

Top losers today

CompanyShare Price (in ₹)Change %
Shriram Finance962.10-3.56
Axis Bank1,311.50-2.16
Max Healthcare958.10-1.90
Infosys1,629.40-1.52
Cipla1,311.60-1.30

Market aftermath: Impact on stocks

Bajaj Housing Finance delivers strong Q3 performance

Bajaj Housing Finance reported a solid set of numbers for Q3 FY26, reinforcing confidence in the housing finance space.

  • Net profit rose 21% YoY to ₹665 crore
  • Net interest income grew 19% YoY to ₹963 crore
  • Net total income increased 24% to ₹1,153 crore

Asset quality remained healthy, with gross NPAs at 0.27% and net NPAs at 0.11%, both improving year-on-year. Loan assets expanded 23% YoY to ₹1.17 lakh crore, while assets under management rose to ₹1.33 lakh crore.

The company’s capital adequacy ratio stood at a comfortable 23.15%, supported by top-tier credit ratings, underlining balance sheet strength.

Wall Street cautious as tech earnings, jobs data loom

Global cues remained mixed. Wall Street futures slipped up to 1% as investors turned cautious ahead of a heavy earnings calendar featuring major tech names like Alphabet, Amazon, AMD, Disney, and Palantir.

Concerns also resurfaced around the AI theme after reports suggested that Nvidia’s proposed investment in OpenAI may have stalled. Adding to the uncertainty, investors are awaiting the US monthly jobs report, which could influence the Federal Reserve’s next policy move.

Commodities and risk assets saw pressure globally:

  • Gold fell 5%
  • Silver dropped over 7%
  • Bitcoin declined nearly 11% in January, marking its longest losing streak since 2018

Asian markets were weak, with South Korea’s Kospi plunging over 4%, while Japan, China, and Hong Kong also traded lower.

Power Grid surges after raising FY26 capex guidance

Shares of Power Grid Corporation of India jumped nearly 8%, making it the top gainer on benchmark indices.

The rally followed management’s decision to raise FY26 capex guidance to ₹32,000 crore from ₹28,000 crore and capitalisation guidance to ₹22,000 crore.

As of January 31, 2026:

  • Capex stood at ₹29,200 crore
  • Capitalisation was ₹18,700 crore

The company indicated it is well-positioned to exceed annual guidance, supported by strong execution visibility. Despite recent volatility, the stock trades at a relatively modest P/E of 14.89, keeping it on investors’ radars.

Crude oil and commodities remain under pressure

Commodity markets continued to show weakness, especially energy and precious metals.

Crude oil prices fell sharply after comments from US President Donald Trump indicated that Iran is open to talks, easing geopolitical tensions.

  • Brent crude dropped 4.44% to $66.24
  • WTI crude fell 4.63% to $62.19
  • MCX crude slid over 4.5%

Further weighing on prices, OPEC+ decided to keep production unchanged for March, reinforcing expectations of ample supply.

Natural gas and agri-commodities also saw declines:

  • MCX natural gas plunged nearly 12%
  • Guargum and turmeric futures traded lower on NCDEX

Meanwhile, MCX Silver extended its sell-off, ending 6.4% lower at ₹2,48,600/kg, while MCX Gold recovered from lows to close nearly flat.

Conclusion

Monday’s sharp rebound brought much-needed relief after the brutal Budget-day sell-off. Heavyweight buying, easing volatility, and reassuring corporate updates helped stabilise sentiment. However, global uncertainty — driven by tech earnings, US jobs data, and commodity weakness — continues to loom large.

While the recovery signals resilience, the coming sessions will test whether this bounce has legs or remains a short-term relief rally in a volatile market environment.

For more stock market insights, check out the StockGro blog.

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Rohan Malhotra

Rohan Malhotra is an avid trader and technical analysis enthusiast who’s passionate about decoding market movements through charts and indicators. Armed with years of hands-on trading experience, he specializes in spotting intraday opportunities, reading candlestick patterns, and identifying breakout setups. Rohan’s writing style bridges the gap between complex technical data and actionable insights, making it easy for readers to apply his strategies to their own trading journey. When he’s not dissecting price trends, Rohan enjoys exploring innovative ways to balance short-term profits with long-term portfolio growth.

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