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Volatile Day Ends in Red as Paytm Soars, Ola Slumps, and Oil Rises

Another down day for the benchmarks — but do Paytm’s upgrades, AMS’s defence tailwinds and firmer crude change the mood next week?

share market news

The BSE Sensex finished 148.14 points lower (–0.18%) at 83,311.01, while the Nifty 50 settled 87.95 points down (–0.34%) at 25,509.70.

Broader indices underperformed: the Nifty Midcap 100 slipped 0.7%, and the Nifty Smallcap 100 lost 1.4%, reflecting greater caution in high-beta pockets.

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Impact on the stock market

Sector-wise performance

Metals tumbled, with the Nifty Metal index down 2.1% (second straight day of losses). Hindalco plunged >5% after its US arm Novelis posted weaker-than-expected numbers and a subdued margin outlook, while Grasim fell ~6%; JSW Steel and Tata Steel also traded lower.

Media and consumer durables led declines alongside metals, mirroring weaker global cues and a post-festive cool-off in discretionary demand.

Defensive and quality pockets provided a buffer: the Nifty FMCG index edged +0.05% and the Nifty IT index added +0.2%, aided by moves in Britannia, Nestlé India, HUL and tech majors Wipro, TCS, Infosys.

In autos, M&M advanced 1.2% to ₹3,625 after a Q2 FY26 beat and upbeat outlook across both auto and farm businesses; the Nifty Auto index closed +0.1%.

Sector/IndexPerformance
IT & BPM sector0.15%
Healthcare sector-0.49%
Oil & Gas sector-0.20%
Real estate sector-1.51%
PSU Bank in India-0.62%

Top gainers today

CompanyShare Price (in ₹)Change %
Asian Paints 2,602.904.67
Reliance 1,496.101.56
Interglobe Aviation 5,717.001.42
M&M 3,625.101.23
UltraTech Cement 11,947.001.08

Top losers today

CompanyShare Price (in ₹)Change %
Grasim 2,714.20-5.82
Hindalco 788.40-5.17
Adani Enterprises 2,336.00-3.46
Power Grid  270.85-2.94
Eternal 306.60-2.20

Market aftermath: Impact on stocks

Paytm: Gains Momentum with MSCI Inclusion and Earnings Beat

Paytm continued to dominate investor discussions after being included in the MSCI Global Standard Index, a move expected to attract $1.46 billion of inflows into Indian equities, according to Nuvama.

Shares of One 97 Communications Ltd, Paytm’s parent, jumped 4% to ₹1,321, fuelled by strong Q2 results and multiple brokerage upgrades.

Here’s a quick snapshot of the numbers:

  • Revenue: ₹2,060 crore (+7% QoQ)
  • EBITDA: ₹140–₹180 crore (up 2x QoQ)
  • PAT: ₹21 crore (adjusted for exceptional items)
  • Contribution margin: 59% (upper end of guidance)

Analysts lauded Paytm’s focus on UPI credit growth, Soundbox adoption, and cost discipline.

  • Citi: “Buy” – TP ₹1,500 – cited strong momentum in credit-linked payments.
  • Emkay Global: “Buy” – TP ₹1,600 – expects 35% EBITDA growth in FY26.
  • JM Financial: “Buy” – TP ₹1,470 – appreciated cost efficiency and margin gains.
  • Jefferies: “Buy” – TP ₹1,600 – sees 24% CAGR in revenues over FY25–28.

With improving device economics and low loan penetration offering room for expansion, Paytm seems poised for a more sustainable growth phase.

Ola Electric: Forecast cut triggers a 5% selloff

On the other hand, Ola Electric had a rough day, hitting a 5% lower circuit at ₹47.55, marking a two-month low.

The company trimmed its FY26 revenue forecast sharply — from ₹4,200–₹4,700 crore to ₹3,000–₹3,200 crore, though it reaffirmed its 40% gross margin target.

Financial highlights for Q2:

  • Revenue: ₹690 crore (–43% YoY)
  • Net loss: ₹418 crore (vs ₹495 crore last year)
  • Automotive EBITDA: ₹2 crore — its first-ever positive result
  • Expenses: ₹893 crore (–44%)

Ola achieved savings by manufacturing its own battery cells, cutting raw material costs, and slashing operational spending by 46% in its autos unit.

However, sales volumes nearly halved to 52,666 units, largely driven by cheaper entry-level models. While the margin story is improving, the topline contraction spooked investors, pushing the stock down 44% year-to-date.

Apollo Micro Systems (AMS): Defence play delivers strong growth

Apollo Micro Systems (AMS) impressed with stellar Q2 FY26 numbers. The company’s net profit nearly doubled to ₹31.11 crore (+98.2% YoY), while revenue rose 40.2% to ₹225.3 crore.

Operational metrics stood out:

  • EBITDA: ₹59.59 crore (+82.7%)
  • EBITDA margin: 26.45% (vs 20.29% a year ago)

AMS’s strong order book from DRDO and defence PSUs continues to underpin its performance.

  • Recently bagged orders worth ₹18.43 crore.
  • Declared L1 bidder for projects worth ₹39.27 crore.
  • Secured Transfer of Technology (ToT) approval for the Mechatronic Fuze for Grenade — enhancing its indigenous defence capabilities.

Despite the impressive results, shares slipped 2.73% to ₹270.3, possibly due to short-term profit booking. Still, AMS remains one of the promising midcap names in the defence manufacturing space.

Crude Oil: Tight supply keeps prices supported

Crude oil prices edged higher as US petroleum product inventories declined, signalling tighter global supplies.

  • Brent (Jan futures): $63.71 (+0.30%)
  • WTI (Dec futures): $59.81 (+0.35%)
  • MCX (India Nov futures): ₹5,312 (+0.13%)

According to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA):

  • Motor gasoline inventories dropped 4.7 million barrels, now 5% below the five-year average.
  • Distillate inventories fell 0.6 million barrels, 9% below seasonal norms.
  • Crude inventories rose 5.2 million barrels to 421.2 million, 4% below average.

Analysts from ING Think noted that Ukraine’s drone attacks on Russia’s Norsi refinery (capacity ≈ 340,000 barrels/day) and ongoing sanctions are lifting prices for refined products, especially middle distillates.

Other commodities also saw movement:

  • Natural gas (MCX): ₹379.7 (+0.66%)
  • Turmeric (NCDEX): ₹14,680 (+0.41%)
  • Jeera (NCDEX): ₹20,110 (–0.37%)

Conclusion

The markets closed lower, but the day wasn’t short on action.

  • Paytm was the star, climbing on MSCI inclusion and upbeat Q2 earnings.
  • Ola Electric hit turbulence after cutting its FY26 forecast.
  • AMS shined with defence-led growth and expanding margins.
  • Oil prices held firm amid tightening global supply and geopolitical risks.

As investors weigh mixed corporate signals and global macro uncertainty, the coming sessions could see stock-specific action rather than broad market moves.

In short: while the indices cooled off, the stories beneath the surface kept the market buzzing — proving once again, there’s never a dull day on Dalal Street.

For more stock market insights, check out the StockGro blog.

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Neha Verma

Neha Verma is a finance professional with a passion for simplifying financial concepts. She specializes in personal finance and helps people understand the importance of effective money management. Neha’s approach focuses on practical strategies for budgeting, saving, and investing, with the goal of empowering readers to make informed financial decisions. Through her writing, she shares useful insights and tips that help people navigate the world of finance with confidence.

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