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Ketan Mittal (SEBI RA)

@ketan.8910
Meerut
3+ Years of experience
SEBI Registration INH000018726
SEBI Registered Research Analyst with an MBA in Finance from IIM Indore. Passionate about simplifying the stock market, Ketan specializes in making complex financial concepts easy to understand for investors of all levels. With a strong background in market research and trading strategies, Ketan is committed to helping ... Read more
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Posts

shared an insight ⚡️ 2 hours ago
RBI turns hawkish, but banks may benefit first
The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 bps to 5.50% on October 7, the first rate hike since February 2023. The RBI also shifted its stance from neutral to calibrated tightening, while raising its FY27 GDP growth forecast to 7.1%. At first glance, higher rates should be negative for borrowers and rate-sensitive sectors. But the immediate market reaction was different for banks. Several bank stocks gained, and the Nifty Bank moved above 55,500 despite the broader market declining. The reason is the potential impact on lending margins. Banks can reprice floating-rate loans relatively quickly, while the repricing of their deposit base can be slower. That can provide temporary support to net interest margins. However, this is where I would be careful. A prolonged tightening cycle would eventually increase deposit costs and could weaken credit demand. The benefit to bank margins therefore depends on whether this is a one-off hike or the start of a sustained tightening cycle. The RBI's 7.1% FY27 growth forecast also matters. It suggests the central bank currently sees enough economic resilience to absorb tighter financial conditions. My view: The first-order impact of today's policy is more positive for banks than for rate-sensitive sectors. But I would not extrapolate today's positive bank reaction into a long-term margin expansion story. Deposit repricing and credit growth will determine whether the benefit lasts. What I am watching next: Bank deposit rates, loan repricing, NIM commentary in Q2 results and the RBI's December policy stance.
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shared an insight ⚡️ 5 hours ago
Coal India supply growth is outpacing production
Coal India Limited increased coal supplies by 12.5% YoY to 61.20 million tonnes in September FY27. Power-sector supplies rose 10.63% to 48.90 million tonnes, while production increased 9.18% to 53.50 million tonnes. The more interesting number is the gap between supply and production growth. Supply is growing faster because Coal India is using its accumulated pithead inventory. The company has already liquidated around 63 million tonnes of pithead stocks during the first half of FY27. H1 supplies rose 7.6% to 384.2 million tonnes. That has helped meet rising power demand. India's power shortage reached a three-year high in September even though coal-fired plants were operating at elevated utilisation levels. This creates a slightly different read on the stock. Higher offtake is positive for revenue visibility, but part of the growth is coming from inventory liquidation rather than an equivalent increase in production. The next question is whether production can catch up as the post-monsoon period improves. My view: Coal India's supply momentum is positive and the power-demand backdrop remains supportive. But I would not treat 12.5% supply growth as sustainable earnings growth until production starts matching the pace of offtake. What I am watching next: October production, daily offtake and whether the company can maintain supply growth without relying heavily on pithead inventory
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shared an insight ⚡️ 8 hours ago
Jubilant FoodWorks shows recovery in Domino’s India
Jubilant FoodWorks Limited reported Q2 FY27 consolidated revenue of ₹2,608.7 crore, up 11.9% YoY. Domino’s India delivered 4.1% like-for-like growth, up from 2.5% in the previous quarter, while the company added 88 Domino’s stores. The encouraging part of this update is not the 11.9% group revenue growth. It is the improvement in Domino’s India like-for-like growth. That is a better indicator of underlying demand because it strips out the benefit from opening new stores. The 4.1% LFL growth is still moderate, though. Jubilant FoodWorks added 88 Domino’s stores during the quarter, taking the India network to 2,601 outlets. Rapid expansion can support revenue growth, but the investment case becomes stronger only if existing-store growth improves alongside the new-store contribution. There is also a clear contrast within the portfolio. Domino’s Eurasia reported a 2.1% decline in LFL sales. This makes India the more important growth engine for the group. My view: The Q2 update is a step in the right direction for Domino’s India. But I would not extrapolate the recovery too aggressively yet. The key question is whether LFL growth can move towards mid-single digits while store additions continue. What I am watching next: Domino’s India LFL growth, mature-store sales productivity and whether margins improve despite higher commodity and operating costs.
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