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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

29th May · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Banco Products: Rectangle Breakout Setup with Multi-Signal Confirmation

$BANCOINDIA The stock formed a rectangle consolidation pattern for several months between roughly ₹520–₹690. Price has now reached the upper boundary with a strong bullish candle, suggesting an active breakout attempt. The overall structure indicates a possible Elliott Wave continuation pattern, where the correction phase appears complete and a fresh impulsive wave may be starting. Elliott Wave Perspective The price action suggests: Initial impulsive rally created Wave 1 Extended sideways-to-down correction formed Wave 2 Current breakout zone may signal the beginning of Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and fastest advancing wave. If momentum sustains above the breakout region, the next projected move could extend toward the ₹820–₹860 zone. MACD Observation The recent lows in price showed weakening downside momentum while price remained relatively stable. This indicates a potential bullish MACD divergence, often seen before major trend reversals or breakout continuations. This divergence strengthens the probability of upside continuation from the consolidation base. Fundamental Strength Banco Products also stands out fundamentally with: Healthy ROCE profile Consistent profit growth over recent years Strong industrial and auto-component business positioning Improving operational efficiency and margin profile This combination of technical breakout + strong fundamentals often creates favorable conditions for medium-term trend expansion. Key Levels to Watch Breakout Confirmation Zone: ₹680–₹700 Immediate Resistance Targets: ₹760 → ₹820 → ₹860 Major Support Zone: ₹620 Trend Invalidation Below: ₹520

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