Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) Β· 20th Nov
π Monthly Breakout Setup on a Fundamentally Strong Textile Leader!
SIYSIL
π Technical + Fundamental Insight
1οΈβ£ Elliott Wave Structure β Base Formation Before Impulse
The monthly chart shows a broad Wave-2/Wave-B correction, where price has moved sideways for almost a year between βΉ600ββΉ820.
This kind of long consolidation often creates the foundation for a Wave-3/Wave-C impulse, especially when the breakout happens on higher timeframes like monthly charts.
2οΈβ£ MACD Behaviour β Momentum Gradually Turning Up
Although the MACD line isnβt shown in the image, the price structure itself reflects a loss of selling momentum:
Each dip is getting shallower
Each rise is closing stronger
This behaviour typically aligns with bullish MACD convergence, indicating trend reversal strength on a higher timeframe.
3οΈβ£ AVWAP Placement β Strong Value Zone at Lower Range
The AVWAP from the major swing low is rising steadily and sits comfortably in the βΉ540ββΉ560 zone.
Price respected this area multiple times, confirming it as a long-term demand zone where accumulation is happening quietly.
4οΈβ£ Fundamental Strength β Solid Business Backing the Chart
Siyaramβs long-term financial profile supports the technical setup:
Consistent profitability with improving margins
Healthy ROCE, signalling efficient capital use
Strong brand presence in the mid-premium textile segment
Balance sheet stability with controlled leverage
Steady revenue growth driven by domestic and export demand
A fundamentally strong textile company holding tight consolidation on the monthly timeframe often leads to multi-month upside trending moves.
π― Conclusion
Siyaram is showing:
β Long consolidation on monthly chart
β Institutional accumulation near AVWAP
β Waning selling pressure and early momentum shift
β Strong fundamentals supporting a breakout move
A sustained monthly close above βΉ820 can trigger the next major impulsive wave.