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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

20th Nov Β· SEBI-Registered Analyst

πŸš€ Monthly Breakout Setup on a Fundamentally Strong Textile Leader!

SIYSIL
πŸ” Technical + Fundamental Insight 1️⃣ Elliott Wave Structure – Base Formation Before Impulse The monthly chart shows a broad Wave-2/Wave-B correction, where price has moved sideways for almost a year between β‚Ή600–₹820. This kind of long consolidation often creates the foundation for a Wave-3/Wave-C impulse, especially when the breakout happens on higher timeframes like monthly charts. 2️⃣ MACD Behaviour – Momentum Gradually Turning Up Although the MACD line isn’t shown in the image, the price structure itself reflects a loss of selling momentum: Each dip is getting shallower Each rise is closing stronger This behaviour typically aligns with bullish MACD convergence, indicating trend reversal strength on a higher timeframe. 3️⃣ AVWAP Placement – Strong Value Zone at Lower Range The AVWAP from the major swing low is rising steadily and sits comfortably in the β‚Ή540–₹560 zone. Price respected this area multiple times, confirming it as a long-term demand zone where accumulation is happening quietly. 4️⃣ Fundamental Strength – Solid Business Backing the Chart Siyaram’s long-term financial profile supports the technical setup: Consistent profitability with improving margins Healthy ROCE, signalling efficient capital use Strong brand presence in the mid-premium textile segment Balance sheet stability with controlled leverage Steady revenue growth driven by domestic and export demand A fundamentally strong textile company holding tight consolidation on the monthly timeframe often leads to multi-month upside trending moves. 🎯 Conclusion Siyaram is showing: βœ” Long consolidation on monthly chart βœ” Institutional accumulation near AVWAP βœ” Waning selling pressure and early momentum shift βœ” Strong fundamentals supporting a breakout move A sustained monthly close above β‚Ή820 can trigger the next major impulsive wave.

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