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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

18th Jun ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

๐Ÿ’„ Nykaa: Multi-Year Cup & Handle Breakout Signals Potential Re-Rating

NYKAA
After a prolonged post-listing correction and nearly four years of base formation, Nykaa appears to be completing a massive Cup & Handle pattern on the weekly chart. The stock has now crossed a crucial resistance zone around โ‚น285 and is attempting a decisive breakout, potentially marking the beginning of a new long-term growth cycle. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Technical View 1. Elliott Wave Structure Following the sharp decline after listing, the stock spent several years building a broad accumulation base, completing a large corrective cycle. The rounded cup formation indicates a gradual transition from distribution to accumulation. The recent breakout above resistance suggests the possible start of a powerful Wave-3 advance, often the strongest phase in Elliott Wave analysis. ๐Ÿข Fundamental Strength The technical breakout is supported by improving business fundamentals: โœ… Market-leading position in India's beauty, personal care, and fashion e-commerce segments. โœ… Strong brand recognition and loyal customer base. โœ… Consistent growth in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and active customer additions. โœ… Improving profitability driven by operational efficiency and scale benefits. โœ… Beneficiary of rising online consumption and premium beauty spending trends in India. ๐ŸŽฏ Key Levels to Watch Major Breakout Zone: โ‚น285โ€“290 Immediate Support: โ‚น275โ€“285 Pattern Target: โ‚น425โ€“450 Intermediate Resistance: โ‚น340โ€“360 Risk Management: A weekly close below the breakout zone could result in a retest before the next move higher.

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