Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) ยท 18th Jun
๐ Nykaa: Multi-Year Cup & Handle Breakout Signals Potential Re-Rating
NYKAA
After a prolonged post-listing correction and nearly four years of base formation, Nykaa appears to be completing a massive Cup & Handle pattern on the weekly chart. The stock has now crossed a crucial resistance zone around โน285 and is attempting a decisive breakout, potentially marking the beginning of a new long-term growth cycle.
๐ Technical View
1. Elliott Wave Structure
Following the sharp decline after listing, the stock spent several years building a broad accumulation base, completing a large corrective cycle.
The rounded cup formation indicates a gradual transition from distribution to accumulation.
The recent breakout above resistance suggests the possible start of a powerful Wave-3 advance, often the strongest phase in Elliott Wave analysis.
๐ข Fundamental Strength
The technical breakout is supported by improving business fundamentals:
โ Market-leading position in India's beauty, personal care, and fashion e-commerce segments.
โ Strong brand recognition and loyal customer base.
โ Consistent growth in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and active customer additions.
โ Improving profitability driven by operational efficiency and scale benefits.
โ Beneficiary of rising online consumption and premium beauty spending trends in India.
๐ฏ Key Levels to Watch
Major Breakout Zone: โน285โ290
Immediate Support: โน275โ285
Pattern Target: โน425โ450
Intermediate Resistance: โน340โ360
Risk Management: A weekly close below the breakout zone could result in a retest before the next move higher.