Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 14th Apr
Steelcast Ltd – Momentum Base Breakout (Monthly)
STEELCAS
1. Structure: Uptrend → Consolidation → Expansion
Clear higher high – higher low structure since 2022
Then a tight rectangular consolidation (~₹180–₹250 zone)
Now a strong breakout candle above ₹260–₹270
👉 This is not a bottoming pattern like Sterlite
👉 This is a trend continuation setup
2. Breakout Quality
Strong bullish candle (~30%)
Breakout after time correction (not price crash)
Price holding well above moving averages (dynamic support)
👉 This tells you institutions were accumulating, not exiting
3. Smart Money Behaviour
Notice the consolidation:
Volatility contraction
No panic selling
Then sudden expansion
👉 Classic “coil → expansion” move
4. Target Projection
Range height:
₹250 – ₹180 = ~₹70
Breakout target:
₹260 + ₹70 = ₹330 zone
👉 Your arrow towards ₹350 is slightly aggressive but possible if momentum sustains
5. Key Levels
Immediate support: ₹260–₹270 (breakout zone)
Positional support: ₹230
Below ₹230 → structure weakens
6. Risk vs Reward Insight
This is where your experience matters:
Late entry = poor R:R
Smart entry = retest / minor pullback
👉 Unlike Sterlite (fresh base breakout),
this one is already mid-trend, so risk is slightly higher.
7. Strategy Approach
Aggressive traders: Can ride momentum
Positional traders: Wait for pullback to ₹260 zone
Swing traders: Trail profits aggressively
Final Perspective
Trend strength: Strong
Structure quality: Good (continuation)
Explosiveness potential: Moderate to High
👉 This is a “money rotation stock”, not early accumulation.