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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

14th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Steelcast Ltd – Momentum Base Breakout (Monthly)

STEELCAS
1. Structure: Uptrend → Consolidation → Expansion Clear higher high – higher low structure since 2022 Then a tight rectangular consolidation (~₹180–₹250 zone) Now a strong breakout candle above ₹260–₹270 👉 This is not a bottoming pattern like Sterlite 👉 This is a trend continuation setup 2. Breakout Quality Strong bullish candle (~30%) Breakout after time correction (not price crash) Price holding well above moving averages (dynamic support) 👉 This tells you institutions were accumulating, not exiting 3. Smart Money Behaviour Notice the consolidation: Volatility contraction No panic selling Then sudden expansion 👉 Classic “coil → expansion” move 4. Target Projection Range height: ₹250 – ₹180 = ~₹70 Breakout target: ₹260 + ₹70 = ₹330 zone 👉 Your arrow towards ₹350 is slightly aggressive but possible if momentum sustains 5. Key Levels Immediate support: ₹260–₹270 (breakout zone) Positional support: ₹230 Below ₹230 → structure weakens 6. Risk vs Reward Insight This is where your experience matters: Late entry = poor R:R Smart entry = retest / minor pullback 👉 Unlike Sterlite (fresh base breakout), this one is already mid-trend, so risk is slightly higher. 7. Strategy Approach Aggressive traders: Can ride momentum Positional traders: Wait for pullback to ₹260 zone Swing traders: Trail profits aggressively Final Perspective Trend strength: Strong Structure quality: Good (continuation) Explosiveness potential: Moderate to High 👉 This is a “money rotation stock”, not early accumulation.

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