Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 14th Feb
Vardhman Polytex Ltd
VARDMNPOLY
🔹 Structure Overview
Prolonged downtrend from ~₹15.5
Consistent lower highs under falling trendline
Recent strong bullish candle attempting trendline breakout
Volume appears to be expanding on bounce
This resembles a falling wedge / terminal decline structure.
🔹 Elliott Wave Interpretation
Likely structure:
Extended corrective wave (ABC or complex WXY)
Final capitulation phase around ₹5.5–6 zone
Now early impulse attempt (Wave 1 of reversal)
If this is true, then:
Current move = Wave 1
Pullback = Wave 2
Real acceleration would come in Wave 3
But confirmation is required.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Immediate Resistance:
₹7.80–8.00 (trendline + prior supply)
Major Resistance:
₹9.50–10.50 zone
Support:
₹6.20
Invalidation below ₹5.50
🔹 Breakout Conditions
For this to turn structurally bullish:
✔ Weekly close above ₹8
✔ Follow-through candle
✔ Higher low formation
✔ Volume expansion
Without follow-through, this could become another bull trap.