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DEEPAK PAL

10th Nov · SEBI-Registered Analyst

BAJAJFINSV – मज़बूत नींव, भरोसेमंद नतीजे, और सतत विकास के साथ आपका विश्वसनीय वित्तीय साथी।

Technical Analysis (Chart & Indicators) The daily chart for

BAJAJFINSV
BAJAJFINSV shows the stock rebounding strongly from short-term support near ₹2080–2090. The recent green candlestick and breakout above the key moving averages (20/50 EMA and 200 SMA) suggest renewed bullish momentum. Parabolic SAR dots have flipped below the price, confirming a potential uptrend resumption. MACD histogram shows narrowing negative bars, and the lines are curling upward—positive crossover expected. RSI is rising, presently near 57, showing improving strength, but not yet in the overbought zone. Overall, the momentum favors further upside toward ₹2140–2165 if volumes sustain, with immediate support near ₹2070–2080 (recent low).
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Positive Points: Strong festive demand and consumption trends supporting loan and insurance business. Highest-ever new loan disbursals and increased insurance premiums. Expansion in customer base and cross-selling between finance and insurance units. Government GST and tax reforms creating a positive lending/borrowing environment.
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Negative Points: MSME and auto portfolio showed higher stress; gross NPA ratio increased modestly in last quarter. Elevated valuation versus sector (P/B and P/E slightly higher), may limit short-term upside. Volatility in unsecured MSME or two-wheeler loans—a 25% volume cut announced.
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Investment View At CMP ₹2,118, Bajaj Finserv offers a stable long-term opportunity with moderate short-term volatility. Short Term (1–3 months): Buy on dips near ₹2,050–2,070; target ₹2,250+. Medium to Long Term: Strong hold for ₹2,400–₹2,600 levels over 6–12 months.
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Daily Chart Analayis of BAJAJFINSV on 10112025.pdf
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