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Naveen Kumar

1st Jun · SEBI-Registered Analyst

CMR Green Technologies IPO

CMR Green Technologies is entering the IPO market June 3–5 with a price tag of ₹192 per share, valuing the firm at ₹4,200 crore. Operating in the non-ferrous metal recycling space—specifically aluminum—the company positions itself in a booming industry. However, beneath the surface, the financials reveal a complex narrative. While revenue growth and net profits appear strong during this "IPO year," a deeper dive shows these figures are being heavily "pushed." The company is aggressively accumulating inventory and trade receivables, effectively showing higher factory utilization to boost valuation. Crucially, existing investors are using this IPO to exit almost entirely, raising red flags for short-term sentiment. Furthermore, the company is burning cash, evidenced by a surge in short-term bank debt and working capital loans. Despite these aggressive tactics, the valuation—when viewed through a Price-to-Book PB lens—appears relatively attractive compared to industry peers like Baheti Recycling or Jen Resources. While the company faces risks regarding brand protection and short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for the metal recycling sector remains bright. The Verdict: Expect a potential "listing pop" driven by strong merchant bankers, but stay cautious. A smart play is to target listing gains and employ an exit strategy, as the stock may face a post-listing correction before stabilizing for the long run.

#IPO#EquityResearch#Miscellaneous#MacroViews#FundamentalViews
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