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Naveen Kumar

2nd Jul · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Kratikal Tech IPO

These factors are Looking good: 1. Industry Tailwinds Cyber Security & AI: The intersection of AI and cyber security is currently a high-growth, high-premium sector. Increasing corporate fear regarding digital threats and the necessity for regulatory compliance NBFCs/Cloud create a recurring revenue moat. 2. Re-rating Potential: Based on a comparison of PE 25 vs. 60 for peers and PB ratios, the company appears undervalued relative to its sector peers, suggesting potential for a 30%–70% valuation catch-up. 3. High Growth Revenue: The company has demonstrated a strong upward trend in revenue 13Cr to 36Cr and net profits over the last three years, indicating rapid scaling. 4. Stable Cash Flow: The company utilizes a long-term contract model for vulnerability assessment and compliance certification, ensuring predictable, ongoing cash flow rather than one-time sales. Key Risks Discussed: Promoter Dilution: Post-IPO, promoter stake will drop to 53%, which is considered low compared to industry peers who often maintain 75% holding. Academic Mismatch: The CEO/MD’s educational background Biotechnology is not directly aligned with the core Computer Science/Cyber Security operations of the company. Questionable Revenue Timing: A significant portion of revenue growth appeared only two years prior to the IPO, raising concerns about whether the company is scaling organically or "window-dressing" for the public market. Working Capital Pressure: Trade receivables have increased by 5Cr, indicating that cash collection from clients is lagging behind revenue growth.

#FundamentalViews#Miscellaneous#EquityResearch#MacroViews#IPO
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