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3rd Nov · SEBI Registration INH000016913

A New Opportunity for Indian Alcohol Companies?

Imagine a shop where customers are ready to buy a product, but the shopkeeper doesn't always get the products they want. That was one of the biggest problems for national liquor brands in Tamil Nadu. For years, the state-controlled TASMAC system managed both liquor shops and wholesale distribution. Stock allocation often favoured local manufacturers, making it difficult for national brands to expand. Now, things are slowly changing. What's happening? Tamil Nadu has introduced shop-wise stock ordering based on actual customer demand. National brands may get better access to retail shelves. September brought record brandy sales for some national brands. Radico Khaitan reported approximately 20% volume growth in Tamil Nadu. The government is also examining the possibility of private liquor sales. One Nifty 500 company to watch: Radico Khaitan Ltd. RADICO Why is it interesting? If distribution improves and national brands receive better shelf access, the company could benefit from increased sales volumes in Tamil Nadu. However, investors should also monitor state excise policies, competition, taxation, input costs and execution. The bigger lesson: Sometimes a company's growth is not limited by customer demand. It can also be limited by government policies, distribution and market access. The next phase of growth may depend on how effectively companies convert these policy changes into actual sales. A policy change can create business opportunities, but investors must track actual sales growth, profitability, competition and valuations before drawing conclusions.

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