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Tejaswi

18th Jun · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Solar Power Surge: Siemens Ltd's Shareholder Value Opportunity

$SIEMENS India faces a $130 billion power equipment shortfall by 2035 per McKinsey. Without domestic manufacturing expansion, import dependence could exceed 70%, creating severe supply constraints. This crisis benefits established manufacturers like Siemens Ltd. For Siemens shareholders, this is highly advantageous. Q4 FY2025 revenue hit INR 5,171 crore (+16% YoY), new orders rose 10% to INR 4,800 crore, and PAT was INR 485 crore. Annual revenue reached INR 17,364 crore with PAT of INR 1,688 crore. The shortfall spans transformers, HVDC systems, and power cables where Siemens excels. The company commissioned India's first HVDC link and won Rs 411 crore orders from Power Grid for Static Var Compensators. Siemens manufactured India's first 500MVA HVDC transformer at Kalwa. This supply-demand gap provides long-term revenue growth. India targets 500 GW renewable capacity by 2030, requiring Rs 1.2 lakh crore HVDC investment. Only Rs 25,000 crore awarded so far. Siemens Ltd has market cap ₹1,30,157 crore, price ₹3,655, P/E 98, ROCE 14.9%. Debt reduced, 18.4% five-year profit CAGR. Risk: Energy business demerged into Siemens Energy India (April 2025), so HVDC benefits flow primarily to spun-off entity where shareholders got 1:1 allocation. However, Siemens Ltd's smart infrastructure business benefits from grid modernization. Profitability remains strong despite INR 74 crore labor code costs. For investors, this represents multi-year growth. Siemens' manufacturing base, technology, and government partnerships position it to capture market share as India builds critical infrastructure. Sector grows 11-13% annually through 2035. Shareholders gain through order growth, revenue expansion, and potential valuation re-rating as power supercycle intensifies. Short-term volatility from commodities and forex exists, but long-term trajectory remains positive for this premium industrial stock with strong fundamentals.

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