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AEGISLOG
’s shares jumped 18% in two days to a new 52‑week high of ₹960, after management struck an upbeat tone in its Q4FY26 earnings call. Investors are encouraged by record LPG distribution volumes, resilient profitability, and a clear roadmap for capacity expansion, even as risks from the West Asia war and PNG adoption loom.
Financial Highlights (Q4FY26)
Gas terminal revenue: ₹2,410 crore (+65% YoY; record high).
Liquids terminal revenue: ₹184 crore (–24% YoY).
LPG distribution volumes: 234,000 tonnes (record).
Gas division EBITDA/tonne: ₹7,000 in FY26; management expects sustainability.
Operational Context
War impact: LPG imports disrupted; government prioritized domestic supply over industrial use.
Diversification: Management has broadened LPG sourcing beyond West Asia.
Volume outlook: Distribution volumes targeted at 2 million tonnes by FY28 (vs 754,000 tonnes in FY26), driven by Mangalore, Haldia, and Pipavav facilities.
Risks: Government’s push for PNG adoption could limit LPG demand.
Capex & Expansion Plans
Near‑term projects:
61,000 kl liquid capacity at Mumbai port (H1FY27).
Jawaharlal Nehru Port liquid capacity (phase 1, H1FY27).
Kandla‑Gorakhpur pipeline connection (H1FY27).
Long‑term pipeline: $5 billion capex planned for FY29–31.
Debt strategy: Maintain debt‑to‑equity ratio at 0.6×.
Market Context
Stock up 29% YTD in 2026.
Trades at 30× FY27 EPS (Bloomberg consensus), suggesting positives largely priced in.
Analysts highlight timely commissioning and debt discipline as crucial for sustaining momentum.#FundamentalViews
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