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TrueNorth Capital

15th Jun · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Energy Demand Sparks Market Surge

India’s power demand rose 11.6% year‑on‑year in May, reaching a record 270 GW, driven by warmer temperatures and a delayed monsoon. Average daily demand in early June grew 10.6%, signaling sustained momentum into Q1 FY27. Higher demand translated into improved plant load factors (PLFs). $NTPC ’s PLF rose to 77.2%, $TATAPOWER ’s to 76.6%, and India’s overall thermal PLF climbed to 71.5%, up from 67.7% a year earlier. Renewables Expansion: Renewable generation grew 20% in May, supported by 51 GW of new capacity added in FY26 versus 29 GW in FY25. Companies like $NTPCGREEN and $ADANIGREEN led additions with 5.5 GW and 5.1 GW, respectively. Market Realizations: Electricity traded volumes at IEX rose 19% y‑o‑y, while real‑time market prices increased 21% to ₹4.20/unit. Spot prices fluctuated sharply—from ₹0.15/unit during solar‑heavy hours to ₹10/unit during evening peaks—creating lucrative arbitrage opportunities. Battery Storage Gains: Firms investing in battery energy storage systems (BESS), such as Acme Solar Holdings, are profiting from these price gaps. Acme’s 2.3 GW BESS capacity generated ₹2.2 crore/day, equivalent to ₹9.2/unit in Q4 FY26. Stock Market Impact: The BSE Utilities Index has gained 13% since March 30, outperforming the Sensex’s 5% rise. Key gainers include Adani Green Energy (+84%), JSW Energy, and Acme Solar (+28%), reflecting investor confidence in sustained power‑sector growth.

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