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Adarsh Nimborkar (SEBI IA)

11th May 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

In-Depth Impact Analysis Report How a Potential India vs. Pakistan War Could Influence Indian Stock Markets

✅ DEFENSIVE OR POSITIVELY IMPACTED SECTORS 6. Defense & Aerospace Why It’s Favored: Conflict naturally boosts government defense spending, leading to a surge in defense orders and faster clearances for military projects. Indigenous defense suppliers benefit the most. 📈 Likely Effects: • Surge in order books from Ministry of Defence • FII/DII interest in defense manufacturing • Long-term contract stability 🏷️ Key Stock: Bharat Electronics Limited

BEL
Government-owned BEL is a key player in defense electronics and radar systems and may see strong order flows. 7. 💻 Information Technology (IT Services) 🔍 Why It’s Resilient: IT services are globally diversified, providing relative safety during local conflicts. Currency depreciation (weaker rupee) also benefits exporters like IT firms. 📈 Likely Effects: • Stable earnings from U.S. & EU clients • Rupee depreciation adds to profitability • Limited exposure to domestic conflict risk 🏷️ Key Stock: Tata Consultancy Services
TCS
TCS, as India’s largest IT exporter, offers resilience in times of geopolitical tensions. 8. 💊 Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare 🔍 Why It’s Defensive: Healthcare is a non-cyclical necessity. In war, emergency services, medical supplies, and essential drugs remain in demand. 📈 Likely Effects: • Demand stability or increase • Export-driven companies may benefit from INR weakness • Emergency government procurement may rise 🏷️ Key Stock: Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories
DRREDDY
A global pharma player with strong U.S. presence and domestic capacity, likely to show stable to strong performance. 📌 Conclusion An India-Pakistan war would cause broad-based market volatility, but defensive sectors and strategic industries like defense, pharma, and FMCG could outperform. Meanwhile, banking, real estate, aviation, and energy sectors may see short-to-medium-term headwinds.

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Impact of India-Pakistan War on Markets.png
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