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CA ATIN AGRRAWAL

8th Sep · SEBI Registration INH000020785

adani power wait for the levels mentioned in chart

ADANIPOWER
Adani Power (NSE: ADANIPOWER) is currently an interesting combination of strong operating fundamentals + a much lower valuation than its previous peak, but the stock remains technically sensitive. 1. Fundamental Analysis The latest Q1 FY27 numbers are quite strong: Parameter Q1 FY27 YoY Continuing Revenue ₹17,936 Cr +26.6% Continuing EBITDA ₹6,983 Cr +21.6% PAT ₹4,867 Cr +47.2% Power Sale Volume 28.8 BU +16.9% Plant Load Factor ~78% Improved These figures indicate that the improvement is not merely accounting-driven—power generation, volumes and profitability all improved. A particularly positive point is that finance cost increased only about 5.2%, despite acquisitions and ongoing capex. 2. Growth Story The biggest long-term trigger is capacity expansion. Adani Power is targeting a portfolio of around 45 GW, while also expanding through acquisitions and new projects. It has also signed a 25-year agreement with MSEDCL for 1,600 MW from a planned ultra-supercritical project. The thermal power cycle is also supportive because India's electricity demand is growing. 3. Debt — Important Risk Debt is the area I would monitor carefully. As of June 30, 2026: Total debt: ₹58,381 Cr Net debt: ₹47,643 Cr Debt has increased from March 2026 as the company is expanding and acquiring assets. So the story is: High growth + high capex + high cash generation, but investors need to ensure that debt doesn't grow faster than operating cash flows. 4. Technical View The stock has undergone a major correction from its previous highs, which has substantially changed the risk-reward profile. A recent market report had the stock around the ₹400 area after a large correction from its previous 52-week high. For chart analysis, I would focus on: Previous swing high/low 20 EMA 50 DMA 200 DMA Volume breakout Weekly trend reversal The most important signal would be a higher high + higher low formation on the weekly chart with strong volume.

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