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CA. Hardik Kachchava

24th Aug · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Investment Update: Apollo Tyres Ltd. – Strategic Upgrade

APOLLOTYRE
Executive Summary Shares of Apollo Tyres Ltd. advanced by 5% in morning trade on August 24, 2026, catalyzed by a UBS upgrade from 'Neutral' to 'Buy'. Highlighting a potential upside of 34%, the global brokerage firm emphasized the company's compelling valuation discount and forthcoming earnings recovery. Metric Details Current Price ~₹440 Target Price (UBS) ₹590 Implied Upside ~34% FY28E EBITDA Growth +21% (YoY) Key Investment Drivers Favorable Valuation Gap: Apollo Tyres currently trades at a significant discount relative to its industry peers, presenting an attractive entry point following historical underperformance in the broader tyre sector over the last four years. Domestic Brand Fortification: Management is executing concrete initiatives to strengthen its Indian market presence, anchored by high-visibility investments such as the Indian national cricket team jersey sponsorship. European Market Stabilization: The operational and strategic outlook for the company's European business segment is turning increasingly constructive. Financial Projections & Risk Assessment Current market sentiment has been heavily weighted toward near-term macroeconomic headwinds, particularly the 22% quarter-on-quarter surge in natural rubber prices during Q1FY27. While these commodity cost pressures and recent execution challenges may continue to compress margins through Q2FY27, UBS views the current valuation (with the stock down ~11% YTD prior to the upgrade) as an overreaction to temporary headwinds. Strategic Takeaway UBS anticipates a robust earnings recovery as commodity inflation inevitably eases. Driven by resilient baseline demand and the traction of recent strategic initiatives, FY28E EBITDA is projected to expand by 21% year-on-year.

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