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CA. Hardik Kachchava

9 hours ago · SEBI-Registered Analyst

KOEL: BofA Securities initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating and a target price of ₹2,815 per share, representing a 26% upside potential.

$KIRLOSENG Core Investment Thesis & Financial Outlook BofA Securities has highlighted Kirloskar Oil Engines as a high-conviction growth play, underpinned by its strong position as the second-largest player in the power backup diesel generator (DG) market. The brokerage projects robust financial performance over the medium term: Earnings Growth: Earnings Per Share (EPS) is forecasted to grow at a 22% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over FY26–FY30. Return Profile: Return on Equity (RoE) is expected to expand to 20% (up from 18%), driven by structural margin improvements and disciplined capital allocation. Valuation: The price target of ₹2,815 is based on a multiple of 45x estimated FY28 P/E, a premium valuation that BofA deems sustainable given the company's shifting product mix. Key Growth Catalysts Value Chain Migration: KOEL is actively gaining market share in the high horsepower (HHP) segment. This transition into larger, technically complex power equipment is structurally margin-accretive for the business. Data Center & Hyperscaler Pipeline: Large-scale data centers present a material growth runway. The company recently secured a breakthrough contract from HyperNext to supply 96 units (192 MW total capacity) of its advanced 2,500 kVA Optiprime Dual Core power systems. Management emphasizes that successfully executing this initial hyperscaler project will position KOEL to win further market share in this high-demand vertical. Market Performance & Analyst Consensus Price Action: Following a brief six-day technical correction, the stock snapped its losing streak, gaining up to 8% intraday to hit ₹2,410. Year-to-date, the stock has delivered an exceptional 91.9% return, with a 27.4% gain over the past month alone. Consensus: Wall Street sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive. Of the six analysts covering the stock, five maintain a "Buy" rating and one maintains a "Hold."

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