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CA. Hardik Kachchava

11th Sep · SEBI Registration INH000022136

Shares of PI Industries fell sharply on Friday, September 11

PIIND
Shares of PI Industries fell sharply on Friday, September 11, dropping as much as 7.4% to hit an intraday and 52-week low of ₹2,191. The stock's current 5% decline to ₹2,247.2 extends its broader sell-off, bringing year-to-date losses to 30%.The Catalyst: Kumiai Chemical Guidance CutThe immediate trigger for the steep decline is a major profit warning from Japanese agrochemical firm Kumiai Chemical, one of PI Industries' largest and most critical clients. For its fiscal year ending October 31, 2026, Kumiai announced structural adjustments to its forecasts:Operating Profit Slashed: Full-year operating profit guidance was drastically cut to 2,700 million yen, down from the earlier estimate of 7,200 million ***** Upgraded: Conversely, the revenue forecast was revised higher to 1,75,000 million yen from 1,62,000 million ***** Erosion: Kumiai attributed the profit wipeout to significant inventory valuation losses. The market entry of generic alternatives to its flagship herbicide, AXEEV, in markets outside Japan has aggressively driven down market prices. Strategic Impact on PI IndustriesThe pricing pressure on Kumiai's AXEEV brand represents a material risk to PI Industries due to high client and product concentration:Core Supplier Role: PI Industries is the primary supplier of pyroxasulfone, the active chemical ingredient that Kumiai brands and sells globally as AXEEV. Revenue Dependency: Pyroxasulfone sales alone account for approximately 40% of PI Industries' overall revenue. In its Q1 earnings reported last month, the company posted a uniform decline across key metrics:Net Profit: Plunged 39% year-over-year to ₹244.2 crore (down from ₹400 crore).Revenue: Contracted 10.4% year-over-year to ₹1,702.3 ***** Profit (EBITDA): Dropped 29.2% to ₹367.4 crore, which drove EBITDA margins down 570 basis points to 21.6% compared to 27.3% in the prior year.

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