Alkem Laboratories Ltd.
Range Breakdown Attempt – 9% Correction Loading?
Timeframe: Daily
CMP: ₹5,383
Major Range: ₹5,400 – ₹5,900
Projected Move (marked): ~₹4,900 zone
📦 Structure: Multi-Month Distribution Range
The shaded box clearly shows:
• Repeated rejection near ₹5,850–5,900
• Multiple supports around ₹5,400
• Sideways movement for 5+ months
Now price is breaking below range support (₹5,400).
This is classic range breakdown structure.
🌊 Elliott Wave Perspective
Likely structure:
Wave A: ₹5,900 → ₹5,450
Wave B: Pullback toward ₹5,850
Wave C: Now unfolding
If Wave C equals Wave A in magnitude,
downside projection aligns near:
➡ ₹4,900–4,950
Which matches your marked ~9% downside zone.
📉 Momentum & Price Behavior
Observations:
✔ Sharp rejection from ₹5,900
✔ Strong bearish candle near range high
✔ Weak bounce after breakdown
No sign of strong absorption yet.
Breakdowns after long consolidations usually expand in volatility.
📌 AVWAP Logic
Anchored from recent swing high (~₹5,900):
• Price now trading below anchored resistance
• Rally attempts failing below supply
₹5,500–5,600 now becomes resistance.
Unless price reclaims ₹5,600 decisively, bias remains negative.
🎯 Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹5,500
Major Resistance: ₹5,600
Range High: ₹5,900
Immediate Support: ₹5,250
Measured Target: ₹4,900
Extended Support: ₹4,750
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