Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 28th Feb
AU Small Finance Bank Limited (Daily Chart)
AUBANK
CMP: ~₹958
Structure: Range Breakdown (Short-Term Distribution)
Range: ₹950 – ₹1,030
🔴 What’s Happening
After a strong uptrend from ~₹700 to ₹1,000+, price moved into a sideways distribution range:
Resistance: ₹1,020–₹1,030
Support: ₹950
Now price is breaking below ₹950 support.
That shifts short-term structure from neutral to bearish.
📉 Breakdown Implication
Range height ≈ ₹80
Breakdown projection:
₹950 – ₹80 ≈ 🎯 ₹870–₹880
Your arrow toward ₹880 zone is technically reasonable.
Downside potential: ~7–9% from current levels.
⚠️ Why This Is Weak
❌ Multiple rejections near ₹1,020
❌ Lower highs forming inside range
❌ Strong red candles near support
❌ Failed breakout attempt earlier
This looks like supply overcoming demand.
📊 Key Levels
Immediate Resistance:
₹980
Major Resistance:
₹1,000
Breakdown Level:
₹950 (now resistance if sustained below)
Next Supports:
₹920
₹880
Invalidation (bearish thesis):
Daily close back above ₹990–₹1,000
🧠 Compared to Other Financial Charts You Shared
Bandhan Bank Limited → breaking out
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Limited → testing breakout
AU Bank → breaking down
So within financials, this is relatively weaker.
🎯 Strategy View
If Holding:
Watch ₹950 carefully — sustained trade below favors decline.
If Trading:
Breakdown → Pullback to ₹950 → Short continuation toward ₹900–₹880.
Avoid fresh longs unless:
Price reclaims ₹1,000 decisively.