Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 15th Feb
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🔹 Big Picture Structure
From 2018 peak (~₹980):
Deep multi-year correction
Long rounded base (5–6 years)
Gradual higher lows from 2020 onward
Massive breakout candle above 2018 high
This is a 6-year cup breakout on monthly timeframe.
That’s institutional timeframe structure.
🔹 Elliott Wave View
Primary degree:
Wave 1: 2012–2018 explosive rally
Wave 2: 2018–2023 complex correction
Current move likely early Wave 3 of larger cycle
If this interpretation holds:
Wave 3 can extend significantly beyond prior highs.
Measured move on chart ≈ ₹1,850–1,900
But Wave 3 extensions can overshoot.
🔹 Volume Confirmation
Monthly breakout volume spike visible.
That matters.
Large timeframe breakouts require:
✔ Range expansion
✔ Volume expansion
✔ Decisive close above prior ATH
All three present.