Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 16th Feb
Bajaj Consumer Care Limited
BAJAJCON
🔹 Elliott Wave Interpretation
Primary structure:
Wave 1 (new cycle): 2020–2021 rally
Wave 2: Deep complex correction (2021–2024)
Current move likely early Wave 3
Measured range breakout projection on your chart:
➡ ~₹430–450 zone
If this becomes extended Wave 3:
➡ ₹480–520 (retest of 2018 distribution)
🔹 Volume Behavior
Monthly breakout candle shows:
✔ Wide range expansion
✔ Volume pickup
✔ Strong close near highs
Breakouts without volume fail.
This one has participation.
🔹 AVWAP Perspective
If anchored from:
2018 peak
2021 intermediate high
Price has now reclaimed both supply anchors.
Multi-year AVWAP reclaim = supply exhaustion + institutional accumulation.
🔹 Key Levels
Immediate Support:
₹285–300 (breakout base)
Secondary Support:
₹240–250 (range midpoint)
Structure Failure:
Monthly close below ₹260
🔹 Strategic View (Investor Lens)
This fits:
✔ Portfolio accumulation on dips
✔ Add on pullbacks to ₹300–320
✔ 9–15 month holding horizon
This is the kind of FMCG turnaround that moves slowly but steadily once supply clears.