Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) ยท 14th Sep
Bajaj Finance: Range Breakout with Fresh Momentum ๐๐
BAJFINANCE
After months of sideways consolidation, Bajaj Finance has broken out of its range with strong follow-through โ a bullish signal backed by volume confirmation.
๐น Technical Structure
Range Breakout: Stock has consolidated between โน860 โ โน980 for several months. Today, it decisively broke above the โน980 resistance, closing above โน1,000.
Volume Confirmation: Breakout accompanied by a significant rise in volume (7.5M+), suggesting institutional buying.
Elliott Wave Outlook: The sideways move appears to be a Wave 4 corrective phase, with todayโs breakout hinting at the start of Wave 5 impulse.
AVWAP Level: Anchored VWAP from the previous swing aligns around โน960โโน980, which now acts as a strong support zone.
MACD Divergence: Momentum indicators show a bullish crossover, supporting trend continuation.
๐น Fundamental Strength
High ROE & ROA: Bajaj Finance maintains strong return ratios due to its robust lending model.
Consistent AUM Growth: Double-digit growth in assets under management, reflecting strong demand for consumer and SME credit.
Digital Leadership: Aggressive digital initiatives continue to strengthen customer acquisition.
Resilient Business Model: Despite regulatory challenges, the company consistently delivers superior profit growth and maintains strong asset quality.
โ Conclusion
Bajaj Finance has given a decisive breakout from its consolidation range, with โน980 now as strong support. If sustained, the next upside target lies around โน1,060 โ โน1,100 in the near term, supported by both technical breakout and strong fundamentals.