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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

14th Sep ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

Bajaj Finance: Range Breakout with Fresh Momentum ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“Š

BAJFINANCE
After months of sideways consolidation, Bajaj Finance has broken out of its range with strong follow-through โ€” a bullish signal backed by volume confirmation. ๐Ÿ”น Technical Structure Range Breakout: Stock has consolidated between โ‚น860 โ€“ โ‚น980 for several months. Today, it decisively broke above the โ‚น980 resistance, closing above โ‚น1,000. Volume Confirmation: Breakout accompanied by a significant rise in volume (7.5M+), suggesting institutional buying. Elliott Wave Outlook: The sideways move appears to be a Wave 4 corrective phase, with todayโ€™s breakout hinting at the start of Wave 5 impulse. AVWAP Level: Anchored VWAP from the previous swing aligns around โ‚น960โ€“โ‚น980, which now acts as a strong support zone. MACD Divergence: Momentum indicators show a bullish crossover, supporting trend continuation. ๐Ÿ”น Fundamental Strength High ROE & ROA: Bajaj Finance maintains strong return ratios due to its robust lending model. Consistent AUM Growth: Double-digit growth in assets under management, reflecting strong demand for consumer and SME credit. Digital Leadership: Aggressive digital initiatives continue to strengthen customer acquisition. Resilient Business Model: Despite regulatory challenges, the company consistently delivers superior profit growth and maintains strong asset quality. โœ… Conclusion Bajaj Finance has given a decisive breakout from its consolidation range, with โ‚น980 now as strong support. If sustained, the next upside target lies around โ‚น1,060 โ€“ โ‚น1,100 in the near term, supported by both technical breakout and strong fundamentals.

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