Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 9th Mar
Bearish Momentum Building Below Key Moving Averages in a Leading Hospital Stock 📉
MAXHEALTH
1. Elliott Wave Structure
After completing a prior impulsive rally, the stock entered a corrective wave sequence, forming a pattern of lower highs and lower lows.
The recent bounce appears to have been a corrective Wave B, which failed near the resistance zone. The current decline may represent the start of Wave C, which typically extends lower and completes the correction phase.
If this wave structure plays out, the stock could move toward lower support levels before a new base forms.
2. MACD Bearish Momentum
During the recent rally attempt, MACD momentum failed to strengthen, suggesting that the upside move lacked strong buying conviction.
The indicator is now showing signs of bearish momentum returning, which aligns with the current price weakness.
3. AVWAP Acting as Resistance
The Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) from the prior major swing is positioned above the current price and has been acting as dynamic resistance.
Repeated rejection near this institutional reference level suggests that large participants may be distributing positions rather than accumulating.
4. Moving Average Resistance Cluster
Price is currently trading below multiple key moving averages, including:
Short-term trend EMA
Medium-term EMA
Long-term trend EMA
This stacked resistance structure typically signals that the broader trend remains weak unless price reclaims these levels.
5. Potential Scenario
If the stock continues trading below the key moving average cluster and fails to regain momentum, the chart structure suggests a continuation of the corrective downtrend.
Key Insight:
When Elliott Wave corrective structure, AVWAP resistance, weakening MACD momentum, and price below multiple EMAs align, it often signals sustained bearish pressure in the near term. 📉