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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

7th Aug · SEBI-Registered Analyst

BHARAT FORGE: Multi-Year Breakout Confirms a Powerful Bullish Trend

$BHARATFORG 📈 Technical Analysis ✅ 1. Elliott Wave Structure The stock appears to have completed a healthy Wave 2 correction after a strong rally. The breakout above the ₹1,800 resistance level signals the likely beginning of Wave 3, which is generally the strongest and longest phase in an Elliott Wave cycle. The sharp move to fresh highs reflects increasing institutional participation and confirms a strong bullish structure. ✅ 2. Bullish MACD Confirmation The MACD remains in positive territory, indicating strong upward momentum. There are no visible signs of bearish divergence, suggesting that buying pressure continues to dominate. Positive momentum accompanying a major breakout often supports sustained trend continuation. ✅ 3. AVWAP Acting as Dynamic Support Bharat Forge is trading comfortably above its key Anchored VWAP (AVWAP), indicating that institutional investors are positioned profitably. The AVWAP is now expected to act as a strong dynamic support on any short-term correction. As long as the stock remains above this level, the long-term bullish trend remains intact. 💼 Fundamental Strength The technical breakout is reinforced by the company's strong business fundamentals. Consistently high ROCE, reflecting efficient capital allocation and operational excellence. Global leader in forged components with a diversified presence across automotive, aerospace, defence, industrial, and energy sectors. Strong order pipeline, expanding defence business, and increasing exports continue to strengthen long-term earnings visibility. Healthy balance sheet, improving margins, and continuous investments in advanced manufacturing technologies support sustainable long-term growth. The combination of structural business strength and a confirmed technical breakout enhances the probability of sustained wealth creation over the long term.

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