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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

10th Mar · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) on the daily timeframe

BPCL
1️⃣ Strong Breakdown Below Key Moving Averages Price has broken below all important EMAs: EMA 26 EMA 52 EMA 225 (long-term trend) This indicates: Short-term trend → Bearish Medium-term trend → Turning bearish Momentum → Strong selling pressure When price falls below the 225 EMA, it usually signals institutional distribution or risk-off sentiment. 2️⃣ Impulsive Selling Structure The last few candles show large bearish bodies with almost no retracement, which means: Sellers are aggressive Buyers are not defending levels This type of move usually leads to continuation rather than immediate reversal. 3️⃣ Next Major Support Zone Your chart correctly marks the next key level. Important Support ₹305 – ₹308 zone This area previously acted as: Strong demand zone Historical support base So the probable move is: 326 → 315 → 305 zone 4️⃣ Possible Scenarios Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) If ₹305 breaks, next supports could be: ₹292 ₹275 This would confirm a larger trend breakdown. Bounce Scenario If price holds ₹305–308, we may see a technical bounce toward: ₹335 ₹345 But this would likely be a pullback, not a trend reversal unless price reclaims ₹365+. 5️⃣ Trading Insight Right now the structure suggests: Trend: Bearish Momentum: Strong downside Immediate Target: ₹305 zone The stock may test the red support line marked on your chart before any meaningful reaction. ✅ My View: The move looks like a liquidity sweep toward ₹305, where institutions may attempt accumulation.

#Today’sTradingSetup#WatchOutFor#StockInNews#FundamentalViews#TechnicalViews
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