Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 10th Mar
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) on the daily timeframe
BPCL
1️⃣ Strong Breakdown Below Key Moving Averages
Price has broken below all important EMAs:
EMA 26
EMA 52
EMA 225 (long-term trend)
This indicates:
Short-term trend → Bearish
Medium-term trend → Turning bearish
Momentum → Strong selling pressure
When price falls below the 225 EMA, it usually signals institutional distribution or risk-off sentiment.
2️⃣ Impulsive Selling Structure
The last few candles show large bearish bodies with almost no retracement, which means:
Sellers are aggressive
Buyers are not defending levels
This type of move usually leads to continuation rather than immediate reversal.
3️⃣ Next Major Support Zone
Your chart correctly marks the next key level.
Important Support
₹305 – ₹308 zone
This area previously acted as:
Strong demand zone
Historical support base
So the probable move is:
326 → 315 → 305 zone
4️⃣ Possible Scenarios
Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability)
If ₹305 breaks, next supports could be:
₹292
₹275
This would confirm a larger trend breakdown.
Bounce Scenario
If price holds ₹305–308, we may see a technical bounce toward:
₹335
₹345
But this would likely be a pullback, not a trend reversal unless price reclaims ₹365+.
5️⃣ Trading Insight
Right now the structure suggests:
Trend: Bearish
Momentum: Strong downside
Immediate Target: ₹305 zone
The stock may test the red support line marked on your chart before any meaningful reaction.
✅ My View:
The move looks like a liquidity sweep toward ₹305, where institutions may attempt accumulation.