Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 5th Feb
Birlasoft: Cup Completion + Breakout Attempt on Daily Chart 📊💻
BSOFT
Multi-Signal Technical + Structural Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
Structural Pattern (Price Action):
Birlasoft has carved out a clean Cup structure between ~₹455 (rim) and ~₹395 (base). The rounded decline followed by a steady recovery reflects controlled profit booking and accumulation, not distribution.
Elliott Wave Structure:
The rally into late Dec can be considered a minor Wave 3
The curved correction into mid-Jan fits a Wave 4 time + price correction
The current breakout attempt above ₹450–455 suggests early Wave 5 activation on the daily scale
Key Supply / Neckline Zone:
₹450–455 has acted as a strong horizontal supply. Price acceptance above this zone is critical. The latest candles show buying pressure returning right at the neckline, which is a constructive sign.
Momentum (MACD Behavior – Contextual):
During the Cup formation, momentum cooled off while price corrected — a healthy reset. The recent up-move signals momentum expansion, usually seen at the start of a new impulse leg rather than at the end of a move.
Measured Move Projection:
Cup depth of ~₹60 projected from the breakout zone gives an upside objective near ₹510–515, matching the marked projection on the chart.
Important Levels to Watch:
Breakout confirmation: Sustained close above ₹455
Neckline support: ₹445–450
Invalidation: Daily close below ₹435
Pattern target: ₹510+
Trade Behavior Insight:
Minor pullbacks or intraday rejections near ₹455 are normal during breakouts. What matters is daily closing strength, not single candles.
Overall View:
Birlasoft is transitioning from a corrective phase into a fresh expansion leg. The Cup completion, improving momentum, and price pressing against a long-standing supply zone together point toward a high-probability continuation setup, favoring positional swing traders.
Quiet bases often lead to sharp expansions — this one is worth tracking closely 👀📈