Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 4th Aug 2025
🧱 Box Breakout After 13 Months! Star Cement Powers +6% on Weekly Close
STARCEMENT
A textbook range breakout after over a year of consolidation! Star Cement just broke out of its accumulation box with a strong bullish candle — this could be the start of a fresh trending move.
🔍 Technical + Fundamental Breakdown
🔹 Elliott Wave View
After a corrective phase resembling a complex Wave 2, the recent move likely marks the beginning of Wave 3, which is known for steep rallies.
Clear range structure supports the idea of accumulation before markup.
🔹 MACD Momentum
MACD has turned bullish — signal line crossover confirms fresh buying pressure.
No bearish divergence, showing momentum is healthy and building.
🔹 AVWAP Insight
Though not drawn on chart, breakout above a multi-month anchored VWAP resistance can be inferred from the long sideways volume behavior.
Volume breakout along with price confirms institutional interest.
💼 Fundamental Strength
Low debt + strong margins typical of cement sector outperformers.
Benefiting from regional infra demand, especially in North-East India where Star Cement is dominant.
Steady growth in EBITDA/ton and cash flow generation.
✅ Final Word
Star Cement is breaking out of a 255-level resistance box after 13 months of patience-testing sideways movement. With rising volume, fresh trend structure, and sector tailwinds, this could be just the beginning of a medium-term uptrend.