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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

13th Jan · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🚀 Breakout from Consolidation in a Structurally Strong Infra PSU

DREDGECORP
🔍 Technical Structure Analysis 1️⃣ Elliott Wave Structure The stock witnessed a sharp impulsive rally, marking a clear Wave (1) advance. This was followed by a sideways corrective Wave (2) in the form of a rectangle, showing time correction rather than price damage. The recent strong bullish candle breaking above the consolidation range signals the potential start of Wave (3), which typically carries strong momentum and expansion. 2️⃣ MACD – Momentum Confirmation During the consolidation phase, MACD remained above the zero line and flattened, indicating trend continuation rather than weakness. As price approached the upper end of the range, MACD began turning upward again, suggesting renewed bullish momentum supporting the breakout. 3️⃣ AVWAP – Support Turned Launchpad The anchored VWAP from the breakout base aligns well with the top of the consolidation zone. Price holding above this AVWAP confirms acceptance at higher levels, indicating that institutions are defending the breakout area. This strengthens the probability of a measured move continuation toward higher value zones. 🧠 Fundamental Strength Snapshot Strong ROCE Profile: Reflects efficient deployment of capital in a niche infrastructure segment. Consistent Order Inflows: Supports revenue visibility and earnings stability. Low Competitive Intensity: Specialized nature of dredging provides structural advantages. Balance Sheet Comfort: Limited leverage offers resilience during execution cycles.

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