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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

23rd Oct · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Central Bank of India: Breakout on Cards After 5-Month Base Formation! ⚡

CENTRALBK
Central Bank of India (CENTRALBK) is showing a promising setup — price is attempting to break out from a long consolidation zone, backed by improving fundamentals and strong base structure. 🔹 Technical Structure (Elliott Wave & Pattern Setup) The stock has formed a 5-month rectangular base between ₹34 and ₹39 — a classic accumulation phase under Elliott Wave’s Wave 2/4 corrective structure. Price is now attempting to break above the upper boundary (~₹39), hinting at the beginning of a new impulsive Wave 3 rally. Once confirmed, this breakout could lead to strong momentum towards the ₹44–₹47 zone in the short term. 🔹 Momentum Indicators MACD shows a bullish crossover near the zero line, suggesting the end of sideways momentum and renewed buying strength. Volume is gradually increasing, reflecting accumulation by smart money ahead of the breakout. 🔹 AVWAP & Support Zone The AVWAP from the May 2024 swing low is acting as a strong dynamic support within the consolidation band. As long as the price holds above ₹34, the structure remains bullish and constructive. 🔹 Fundamental Snapshot ROE improving to double digits, supported by consistent quarterly profit growth. NPA levels declining steadily, showing improved asset quality. Strong backing from government recapitalization and credit growth in retail & MSME sectors. Valuations remain attractive compared to peers in the PSU banking space. 🔹 Conclusion A decisive weekly close above ₹39–₹39.5 could confirm a breakout from accumulation, paving the way for a sharp move toward ₹44–₹47. The confluence of technical breakout, improving fundamentals, and positive sentiment in PSU banks makes this setup worth watching closely.

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