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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

29th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

clean base + rounding structure + breakout attempT

GESHIP
What you’ve marked is essentially a large rounding bottom (cup structure) spanning many months. Left side: distribution and decline from ~₹1500 Base: accumulation around ₹800–₹1000 Right side: gradual demand return and higher lows Current zone: retest of neckline (~₹1500) This is not a random move. It’s a well-formed structural transition. What Makes This Setup Strong 1. Rounded Base (High Quality Accumulation) Unlike V-shapes, rounding bottoms indicate: Slow accumulation by institutions Supply getting absorbed over time Sustainable trend potential This is higher quality than sharp reversals. 2. Neckline Test (Critical Level) ₹1500–₹1550 is clearly: Prior rejection zone Psychological resistance Supply cluster Now price is pressing against it again with strength 3. Higher Lows Formation Right side shows: Consistent higher lows Controlled pullbacks Demand stepping in early That’s classic bullish pressure building before breakout Measured Move (Cup Projection) Depth of cup: ₹1500 – ₹800 ≈ ₹700 Breakout zone: ₹1500 Projected target: ₹2100–₹2200 (medium-term) Your marked ~₹595 move (~₹2100) aligns perfectly with classical projection. Trade Logic Bullish Case (Primary) Sustained breakout above ₹1550 Ideally with strong weekly close Entry Approach Aggressive Breakout continuation above ₹1580–₹1600 Professional Wait for: Breakout → pullback → hold above ₹1500 Then enter on confirmation This is where RR improves significantly. Invalidity Failure to break ₹1550 followed by rejection Or breakdown below ₹1400–₹1450 structure

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