Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 3rd Jan
⛏️ Coal India – Weekly Chart | Base Breakout After Full Cycle Correction
COALINDIA
🧠 Big Picture Structure
Timeframe: Weekly (institutional confirmation)
Trend Cycle:
Wave ③ top around ₹540
Deep Wave ④ correction (time + price)
Rounded base + range compression
Current Price: ~₹428
Status: Fresh breakout from multi-month range
This is not a dead PSU move — this is smart money re-entry.
🔍 What Makes This Setup Strong
1️⃣ Brutal but Healthy Correction
Fall from ~₹540 → ~₹350
~35% correction = perfect Wave 4 depth
Correction respected 200-week MA (~₹353)
👉 Institutions defended it hard
2️⃣ Long Accumulation Zone (₹360–₹420)
Almost 10 months of sideways grind
Weak hands exited, dividends absorbed
Volumes dried → classic absorption
This is where PSU stocks build their next leg.
3️⃣ Breakout Confirmation (Very Important)
Strong bullish weekly candle
Clean break above ₹416–₹420 supply
Close near high = intentional buying
Volume expansion confirms real breakout
🚀 Targets & Projection
🎯 Immediate Levels
Level Meaning
₹440–445 Minor pause
₹470–480 Range height target
₹500–520 Wave ⑤ zone
₹540+ Lifetime high retest
Your marked ₹480 target is conservative and realistic.
₹520–540 is very much on the table in 2026.
🛑 Risk Management (Very Clean Again)
Strong support: ₹416–420 (previous resistance)
Swing SL: Weekly close below ₹400
Structural SL: Weekly close below ₹360 (unlikely now)
As long as price holds above ₹416 → trend is bullish.
📊 Why Coal India Still Works (Fundamental Angle)
Massive dividend yield (floor to downside)
PSU rerating cycle still active
Coal demand stable despite renewables
Cash-rich balance sheet = low panic selling
This is not a momentum stock, this is a cash + trend stock.