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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

3rd Jan · SEBI-Registered Analyst

⛏️ Coal India – Weekly Chart | Base Breakout After Full Cycle Correction

COALINDIA
🧠 Big Picture Structure Timeframe: Weekly (institutional confirmation) Trend Cycle: Wave ③ top around ₹540 Deep Wave ④ correction (time + price) Rounded base + range compression Current Price: ~₹428 Status: Fresh breakout from multi-month range This is not a dead PSU move — this is smart money re-entry. 🔍 What Makes This Setup Strong 1️⃣ Brutal but Healthy Correction Fall from ~₹540 → ~₹350 ~35% correction = perfect Wave 4 depth Correction respected 200-week MA (~₹353) 👉 Institutions defended it hard 2️⃣ Long Accumulation Zone (₹360–₹420) Almost 10 months of sideways grind Weak hands exited, dividends absorbed Volumes dried → classic absorption This is where PSU stocks build their next leg. 3️⃣ Breakout Confirmation (Very Important) Strong bullish weekly candle Clean break above ₹416–₹420 supply Close near high = intentional buying Volume expansion confirms real breakout 🚀 Targets & Projection 🎯 Immediate Levels Level Meaning ₹440–445 Minor pause ₹470–480 Range height target ₹500–520 Wave ⑤ zone ₹540+ Lifetime high retest Your marked ₹480 target is conservative and realistic. ₹520–540 is very much on the table in 2026. 🛑 Risk Management (Very Clean Again) Strong support: ₹416–420 (previous resistance) Swing SL: Weekly close below ₹400 Structural SL: Weekly close below ₹360 (unlikely now) As long as price holds above ₹416 → trend is bullish. 📊 Why Coal India Still Works (Fundamental Angle) Massive dividend yield (floor to downside) PSU rerating cycle still active Coal demand stable despite renewables Cash-rich balance sheet = low panic selling This is not a momentum stock, this is a cash + trend stock.

#Today’sTradingSetup#StockInNews#WatchOutFor#FundamentalViews#TechnicalViews
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