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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

3rd Jul · SEBI-Registered Analyst

📈 Cosmo First Ltd | Major Base Breakout in Progress 🚀

$COSMOFIRST Cosmo First appears to be completing a large rounding-bottom formation after a prolonged downtrend, with price now reclaiming the key ₹835–₹840 resistance zone. The breakout attempt is backed by improving momentum, suggesting the possibility of a fresh medium-term uptrend. 🔍 Technical Analysis 🟢 Elliott Wave Structure The stock seems to have completed a long corrective Wave 4/base-building phase, while the current breakout can be interpreted as the early stages of a new impulsive Wave 5 advance. The formation of higher highs and higher lows after the bottoming process strengthens the bullish structure. 🟢 MACD Momentum MACD is showing a bullish crossover with the histogram expanding into positive territory, indicating that buying momentum is increasing. The absence of bearish divergence near the breakout zone further supports the continuation of the upward move. 🟢 AVWAP Confirmation Price has moved above the Anchored VWAP, which is now acting as a dynamic support level. Sustaining above this zone generally indicates institutional accumulation and improves the probability of a successful breakout. 💼 Fundamental Strength Cosmo First has several positive fundamental characteristics: Healthy ROCE supported by operational efficiency. Consistent improvement in profitability over recent years. Diversified business across specialty films, packaging, and value-added products. Growing focus on higher-margin specialty segments that can improve earnings quality. Strong cash generation and improving balance sheet position.

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