Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 15th Oct
📈 CRISIL – Trendline Support Holding with Early Bullish Signals
CRISIL
🧩 Technical Structure (Daily Chart)
Elliott Wave View: The stock appears to have completed a Wave 4 corrective phase, finding support at a long-term rising trendline drawn from the April 2024 lows. The current bounce suggests the start of a potential Wave 5 rally.
Trendline Support: The stock has tested and respected the ascending trendline around the ₹4,350–₹4,400 zone multiple times, confirming strong buyer interest.
MACD: A bullish crossover is developing near the zero line, indicating early signs of momentum reversal.
AVWAP Analysis: The anchored VWAP from the previous swing high (₹6,200) is now flattening near ₹4,500 — acting as a dynamic support for potential reversal.
🏦 Fundamental Strength
CRISIL remains a high-quality business with strong fundamentals:
ROCE above 40% and debt-free balance sheet.
Consistent revenue growth driven by demand in credit rating, research, and analytics segments.
Beneficiary of India’s credit expansion cycle and growing corporate debt market.
Promoter group (S&P Global) ensures global expertise and credibility.
🎯 Key Levels
Support Zone: ₹4,350–₹4,400
Immediate Resistance: ₹4,850–₹4,900
Targets: ₹5,200 and ₹5,600 (if momentum sustains)
Stop-Loss (Positional): Below ₹4,300 on daily closing basis
💡 View
CRISIL is showing early signs of reversal from long-term support with improving momentum. A breakout above ₹4,850 can confirm the next leg of the uptrend, potentially leading to a medium-term rally towards ₹5,600+.
Positional investors can consider gradual accumulation near current levels with strict risk management.