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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

26th Mar · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🚀 Cup & Breakout Structure in a High-Quality FMCG Play

ZYDUSWELL
This chart is showing a powerful long-term base formation + breakout attempt, backed by improving structure and solid fundamentals — a classic setup for a sustained uptrend. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Elliott Wave Structure (Big Picture) The stock completed a major impulsive Wave (1–5) move till the 2021 highs. Post that, it entered a prolonged corrective phase (ABC). The rounded bottom formation suggests Wave C completion, and now price is transitioning into a fresh impulsive cycle (Wave 1 of new trend). 2. MACD Insight (Momentum Shift) During the correction phase (2022–2023), price made lower lows, but momentum likely stabilized. Recent sharp upmove indicates a bullish momentum crossover, confirming strength returning. This is typical when a new trend begins after a long base. 3. AVWAP / Resistance Zone (₹460–₹470) Price is currently testing a multi-year resistance + AVWAP cluster. This zone has acted as a strong supply area historically. 👉 Key insight: Break & sustain above ₹470 = major breakout confirmation This can trigger institutional participation + trend expansion 📈 Price Structure Insight Formation: Cup-shaped recovery (rounding bottom) Current Phase: Handle / consolidation near resistance Behavior: Higher lows + strong bullish candles near breakout zone 👉 This is a classic “compression before expansion” setup. 💰 Fundamental Strength This setup becomes more powerful because the business supports it: ✅ Strong brand presence in FMCG / wellness segment ✅ Healthy ROCE & asset-light model ✅ Consistent cash flow generation ✅ Ability to scale margins with demand growth 🔥 What This Means If the stock: Breaks ₹470 convincingly And sustains on higher timeframe 👉 It opens room for a fast move toward ₹550–₹620+ levels ⚠️ Risk Note Rejection at resistance can lead to short-term pullback Watch for fake breakout near all-time supply zones

#StockInNews#WatchOutFor#Today’sTradingSetup#TechnicalViews#FundamentalViews
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