Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 26th Mar
🚀 Cup & Breakout Structure in a High-Quality FMCG Play
ZYDUSWELL
This chart is showing a powerful long-term base formation + breakout attempt, backed by improving structure and solid fundamentals — a classic setup for a sustained uptrend.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Elliott Wave Structure (Big Picture)
The stock completed a major impulsive Wave (1–5) move till the 2021 highs.
Post that, it entered a prolonged corrective phase (ABC).
The rounded bottom formation suggests Wave C completion, and now price is transitioning into a fresh impulsive cycle (Wave 1 of new trend).
2. MACD Insight (Momentum Shift)
During the correction phase (2022–2023), price made lower lows, but momentum likely stabilized.
Recent sharp upmove indicates a bullish momentum crossover, confirming strength returning.
This is typical when a new trend begins after a long base.
3. AVWAP / Resistance Zone (₹460–₹470)
Price is currently testing a multi-year resistance + AVWAP cluster.
This zone has acted as a strong supply area historically.
👉 Key insight:
Break & sustain above ₹470 = major breakout confirmation
This can trigger institutional participation + trend expansion
📈 Price Structure Insight
Formation: Cup-shaped recovery (rounding bottom)
Current Phase: Handle / consolidation near resistance
Behavior: Higher lows + strong bullish candles near breakout zone
👉 This is a classic “compression before expansion” setup.
💰 Fundamental Strength
This setup becomes more powerful because the business supports it:
✅ Strong brand presence in FMCG / wellness segment
✅ Healthy ROCE & asset-light model
✅ Consistent cash flow generation
✅ Ability to scale margins with demand growth
🔥 What This Means
If the stock:
Breaks ₹470 convincingly
And sustains on higher timeframe
👉 It opens room for a fast move toward ₹550–₹620+ levels
⚠️ Risk Note
Rejection at resistance can lead to short-term pullback
Watch for fake breakout near all-time supply zones