Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 22nd Apr
Cup & Breakout Structure in Bank of Maharashtra – Strong Continuation Signal
MAHABANK
Bank of Maharashtra is displaying a powerful structural breakout backed by both price action and improving momentum, indicating a potential continuation of the ongoing uptrend.
From an Elliott Wave standpoint, the stock appears to have completed a larger Wave 1 impulse, followed by a well-rounded Wave 2 correction forming a cup-like structure. The recent breakout above the ₹70–₹72 resistance zone signals the likely start of Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and fastest leg in the cycle.
On the momentum front, the price action suggests a bullish MACD alignment. During the formation of the cup, momentum cooled off gradually, but importantly, there was no aggressive downside follow-through. This kind of structure usually reflects accumulation, and the recent sharp bullish candle confirms momentum expansion.
Looking at AVWAP, if anchored from the recent swing high near ₹75, the price has now cleanly reclaimed this level and is sustaining above it, indicating a shift from supply to demand. This zone now becomes a strong support base for further upside.
The measured move projection on the chart indicates a potential ~40% upside, targeting the ₹100–₹105 zone, which aligns well with the depth of the cup formation and breakout range expansion.
From a fundamental perspective, Bank of Maharashtra has been witnessing:
Improvement in asset quality (declining NPAs),
Better credit growth,
Expanding net interest margins.
This combination of technical breakout + improving fundamentals strengthens the probability of a sustained move rather than a short-lived rally.
Conclusion
The setup reflects a classic:
Accumulation → Rounded Base → Breakout → Momentum Expansion
As long as the price sustains above the ₹70 breakout zone, the structure favors continuation toward higher levels, with Wave 3 dynamics potentially driving a sharp upside move.