Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 23rd Apr
Cup Formation Breakout with Strong Momentum – Trend Continuation in Play
AUROPHARMA
The chart of Aurobindo Pharma Ltd is displaying a high-quality bullish structure, supported by both price action and underlying strength.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the prior uptrend appears to have completed a 5-wave impulse, followed by a prolonged corrective phase forming a rounded Wave 2/4-type structure. The visible cup formation suggests accumulation, and the recent breakout indicates the potential start of a fresh impulsive Wave 3, which is typically the strongest leg in the cycle.
Technically, the stock has cleanly broken out above a major horizontal resistance zone (~1270 levels), which had acted as a supply area multiple times. This breakout, supported by strong bullish candles, confirms a shift from consolidation to expansion.
In terms of momentum, the structure strongly hints at a prior bullish MACD divergence near the bottom of the cup. While price made lower or equal lows, momentum likely weakened on the downside, signaling accumulation. The current rally reflects that latent strength being released.
Looking at AVWAP, anchoring from the previous major high or breakdown zone would show price reclaiming and sustaining above key institutional average levels. This reclaim is crucial, as it often indicates that smart money has transitioned from distribution to accumulation.
On the fundamental front, the company stands out with:
Consistent revenue visibility from global generics business
Healthy operating margins relative to peers
Strong return ratios (ROCE) and improving balance sheet discipline
This combination of technical breakout + fundamental stability enhances conviction in the move.
Conclusion:
The stock is in a confirmed breakout phase after a long consolidation. Sustaining above the breakout zone opens up the probability of a strong trending move, with the measured target aligning with the projected upside range visible on the chart.