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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

24th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Cup Formation Near Breakout Zone – Momentum Coiling for Expansion

POLICYBZR
The chart of PB Fintech Limited is developing a structurally strong bullish setup, with price approaching a decisive breakout level. From an Elliott Wave standpoint, the prior decline appears to have completed a corrective ABC phase, forming a rounded Wave 2/4 base. The ongoing recovery suggests the early stages of a fresh impulsive wave, likely Wave 1 of a new bullish cycle. The smooth curvature of price action reinforces the idea of accumulation rather than random volatility. Technically, the formation resembles a classic cup pattern, with resistance placed around the ₹1700–1710 zone. Price is now testing this zone after a steady rise from the lows. A sustained breakout above this level can trigger a strong momentum move, as it clears a key supply area. On the momentum front, the structure suggests a bullish MACD transition. During the bottoming phase, momentum likely flattened despite price weakness, indicating selling pressure was losing strength. The recent sharp up-move confirms momentum expansion in favor of buyers. From an AVWAP perspective, if anchored from the recent swing high, price is now nearing or reclaiming that key level. A successful hold above AVWAP would signal institutional acceptance at higher prices, often leading to trend continuation. Fundamentally, the company continues to benefit from: Strong growth in digital insurance and lending platforms Expanding user base and improving monetization Gradual improvement in profitability metrics and operating leverage This alignment of structural growth + technical base formation adds conviction to the setup. Conclusion: The stock is at a critical inflection point. A decisive breakout above resistance can unlock a fresh trending move, with momentum and structure both supporting higher levels in the coming phase.

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