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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

8th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Cup & Handle Breakout at Lifetime Highs – Momentum Expansion Ahead?

BSE
The chart reflects a classic cup & handle formation breakout near ₹3,050–₹3,100, indicating strong bullish continuation in an already established uptrend. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the prior strong rally can be labeled as Wave 3, followed by a rounded Wave 4 correction (cup formation). The recent breakout above resistance suggests the beginning of Wave 5, which often drives price into new highs with momentum, especially when backed by strong structure. On the momentum front, such breakout structures typically align with a bullish MACD expansion, where momentum shifts sharply in favor of buyers. The rounding base followed by higher lows in the handle formation indicates steady accumulation before breakout. Looking at AVWAP, if anchored from the cup high (previous resistance), price has now cleanly reclaimed and moved above AVWAP, confirming that the average participant is in profit. The ₹3,000–₹3,050 zone now acts as a strong support base, and any retest is likely to attract demand. The breakout from a well-formed cup & handle pattern significantly increases the probability of trend continuation rather than exhaustion, especially when it occurs near all-time highs. From a fundamental standpoint: Strong business model benefiting from capital market growth Increasing participation in equity markets supports long-term revenue visibility High operating leverage and strong return ratios (ROCE/ROE) Conclusion: The structure suggests a high-probability bullish continuation setup. Sustaining above ₹3,050 can open upside towards ₹3,800–₹4,000 levels in the coming phase. As long as price holds above ₹3,000, the trend remains strongly bullish, with dips likely to be bought aggressively.

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