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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

4th Mar ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

๐Ÿš€ Cup & Handle Breakout Brewing in Chennai Petroleum โ€“ Multi-Signal Confirmation on a Fundamentally Strong Stock!

CHENNPETRO
The weekly structure of Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited is displaying a powerful long-term bullish setup with technical and fundamental alignment. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Technical Structure Breakdown ๐ŸŒ€ Elliott Wave Perspective The stock completed a major corrective Wave II around the โ‚น450โ€“โ‚น500 zone. The rounding structure suggests accumulation and transition into Wave III, typically the strongest and fastest wave in an impulse cycle. Current price action is attempting to reclaim the prior swing high near โ‚น970โ€“โ‚น1,000 โ€” a classic Wave III breakout zone. If sustained above this resistance, the structure projects a move toward โ‚น1,200+ in the medium term. ๐Ÿ“Š MACD Momentum Insight On the weekly timeframe, MACD shows bullish divergence: Price made a lower low during correction. MACD histogram and signal line made higher lows. This positive divergence indicated waning downside momentum before the recent rally. The fresh bullish crossover supports trend continuation. Momentum is expanding in favor of bulls. ๐Ÿ“Œ AVWAP Confluence Anchored VWAP from the prior major top (~โ‚น1,050 zone) is being reclaimed. Price is sustaining above AVWAP, signaling: Institutional accumulation Shift from supply to demand control AVWAP now acts as dynamic support near โ‚น900โ€“โ‚น930. ๐Ÿ› Fundamental Strength Adds Conviction Chennai Petroleum stands out due to: โœ… Strong ROCE, reflecting efficient capital deployment โœ… Consistent profitability across cycles โœ… Healthy balance sheet relative to sector peers โœ… Beneficiary of refining margin expansion cycles A technically strong structure backed by improving earnings visibility enhances probability of trend continuation.

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