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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

1st Oct · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Cup & Handle Breakout Setup on Strong Fundamental Stock!

TATACONSUM
Technical Analysis The weekly chart of Tata Consumer Products shows a Cup & Handle pattern formation. The stock is currently trading near the neckline resistance at ₹1,177, which has been tested multiple times. A decisive breakout above this level may trigger a strong upward rally. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the stock appears to have completed a corrective Phase (Wave 2) and is now progressing into an impulsive Wave 3, which is generally the most powerful leg. The MACD indicator is showing signs of bullish divergence – momentum is building as price approaches resistance, suggesting accumulation before a breakout. AVWAP (Anchored VWAP) taken from the last major high (~₹1,177) has acted as a resistance. Sustained move above this anchored level would confirm trend reversal and provide institutional confidence. Key support remains at ₹1,052, making the current zone a risk-reward favorable setup for positional traders and investors. Fundamental Strength Tata Consumer continues to deliver consistent revenue growth backed by strong brands and distribution reach. The company maintains a high Return on Capital Employed (ROCE), reflecting efficient use of capital. Ongoing portfolio premiumisation and expansion in packaged beverages/foods strengthen long-term growth visibility. Debt levels remain comfortable, providing stability during uncertain market phases. Conclusion With a bullish Cup & Handle pattern aligning with Elliott Wave structure, MACD divergence, and strong fundamentals, Tata Consumer Products is positioned for a potential breakout above ₹1,177. A successful breakout could open the path towards higher targets in the medium term, while ₹1,052 serves as a crucial support for risk management.

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