Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 9th Jul 2025
DABUR INDIA LTD – Long-Term Reversal in Sight with Multi-Signal Confluence 🌿📊
DABUR
📌 Technical Analysis Summary:
✅ Bullish MACD Divergence on Monthly Chart
MACD has formed a strong bullish divergence — while prices made lower lows, the MACD histogram and line made higher lows, signaling a momentum reversal is likely.
✅ Support on 200-Month Moving Average (AVWAP equivalent)
Price has taken support near the 200-month average (~₹427), which historically acts as a strong accumulation zone. This also coincides with past demand zones.
✅ Price Action Turnaround
After prolonged consolidation and underperformance, this month’s bullish engulfing candle (July 2025) signals renewed buying interest. Early signs of a bottom formation.
🔍 Fundamental Strength Checklist:
✅ Debt-Free FMCG company with strong legacy and brand trust
✅ Consistent dividend payer and stable earnings
✅ Expanding rural and Ayurvedic product portfolio
✅ Strong distribution moat across India and international markets
🧠 Elliott Wave Insight:
Long-term price action indicates a corrective phase (Wave 4) may be completing. Given the recent bounce and divergence, a Wave 5 uptrend toward previous highs (~₹650–₹700) is likely.
🔑 Key Levels:
Support: ₹427 (long-term moving average)
Resistance: ₹585–₹600 zone
Breakout Confirmation: Sustained close above ₹600 can trigger a long-term breakout
✅ Conclusion:
Dabur India appears to be in the early stages of a long-term reversal, supported by technical divergence, historical moving average support, and strong underlying fundamentals. A great watchlist candidate for long-term investors seeking stability + upside potential.