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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

25th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Falling Wedge Breakout with EMA Support – Early Trend Reversal Signals

WEBELSOLAR
The chart of Websol Energy System Limited is showing a strong technical shift after a prolonged corrective phase, indicating the possibility of a fresh bullish cycle. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the prior downtrend appears to have completed a corrective ABC structure within a broader consolidation. The recent sharp bounce from the lower boundary suggests the start of a new impulsive Wave 1, marking a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Technically, the stock has broken out of a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal structure. This breakout is significant because it follows a phase of price compression, often leading to strong expansion moves once resistance is cleared. The EMA alignment adds further strength to the setup. Price has reclaimed short-term moving averages (26 & 52 EMA) and is attempting to move above them decisively. This indicates improving short-term momentum and a shift in trend structure. From a momentum standpoint, the structure strongly suggests a bullish MACD crossover/divergence near the recent lows. While price was making lower lows, momentum likely weakened, signaling exhaustion of selling pressure. The current rally confirms this shift. Looking at AVWAP, if anchored from the recent breakdown zone, price is now approaching or reclaiming that key level. Sustaining above AVWAP would indicate institutional accumulation and support continuation of the uptrend. On the fundamental side, the company operates in the renewable energy space, which benefits from: Strong policy support for solar manufacturing Increasing domestic demand for clean energy Long-term structural growth tailwinds If supported by improving margins and capacity utilization, this strengthens the technical breakout case.

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