Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) ยท 26th Sep
๐ Gabriel India โ Elliott Wave in Action, Eyeing Wave 5 Expansion
GABRIEL
๐ Technical Structure
Elliott Wave Count:
Wave 3 peak achieved around โน1,290โ1,320 after an impulsive rally.
Stock now entering a Wave 4 corrective phase, which may retrace towards the โน1,000โโน1,050 zone (Fibonacci retracement cluster).
Wave 5 projection targets around โน1,700โโน1,800 (2.618 Fib extension).
Fibonacci Levels:
Support cluster: โน1,050 (0.382โ0.5 retracement).
Resistance: โน1,320 (Wave 3 top), followed by โน1,777.
MACD Setup: Early signs of bearish crossover, aligning with Wave 4 correction.
AVWAP Reference: Anchored VWAP from Wave 2 low sits near โน916, which will serve as a long-term demand zone if correction deepens.
๐ฆ Fundamental Backing
Auto Ancillary Leadership: Gabriel is a key supplier of suspension systems with long-standing partnerships with top OEMs.
Revenue Drivers: Strong demand in passenger vehicles and 2-wheelers; EV adoption offers future opportunities.
Profitability: Expanding margins due to cost optimization and scale advantages.
ROCE & Debt: Healthy ROCE above industry average with a comfortable debt profile.
๐ Summary
Gabriel India has completed Wave 3 and is set for a healthy Wave 4 correction before resuming its Wave 5 rally towards โน1,700โโน1,800. Short-term volatility is likely, but the long-term structure remains strongly bullish. Investors should watch the โน1,000โโน1,050 support zone as an accumulation area for the next leg of growth.