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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

26th Sep ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

๐Ÿš— Gabriel India โ€“ Elliott Wave in Action, Eyeing Wave 5 Expansion

GABRIEL
๐Ÿ”Ž Technical Structure Elliott Wave Count: Wave 3 peak achieved around โ‚น1,290โ€“1,320 after an impulsive rally. Stock now entering a Wave 4 corrective phase, which may retrace towards the โ‚น1,000โ€“โ‚น1,050 zone (Fibonacci retracement cluster). Wave 5 projection targets around โ‚น1,700โ€“โ‚น1,800 (2.618 Fib extension). Fibonacci Levels: Support cluster: โ‚น1,050 (0.382โ€“0.5 retracement). Resistance: โ‚น1,320 (Wave 3 top), followed by โ‚น1,777. MACD Setup: Early signs of bearish crossover, aligning with Wave 4 correction. AVWAP Reference: Anchored VWAP from Wave 2 low sits near โ‚น916, which will serve as a long-term demand zone if correction deepens. ๐Ÿฆ Fundamental Backing Auto Ancillary Leadership: Gabriel is a key supplier of suspension systems with long-standing partnerships with top OEMs. Revenue Drivers: Strong demand in passenger vehicles and 2-wheelers; EV adoption offers future opportunities. Profitability: Expanding margins due to cost optimization and scale advantages. ROCE & Debt: Healthy ROCE above industry average with a comfortable debt profile. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Summary Gabriel India has completed Wave 3 and is set for a healthy Wave 4 correction before resuming its Wave 5 rally towards โ‚น1,700โ€“โ‚น1,800. Short-term volatility is likely, but the long-term structure remains strongly bullish. Investors should watch the โ‚น1,000โ€“โ‚น1,050 support zone as an accumulation area for the next leg of growth.

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