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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

24th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🍺 GMBREW (Daily) – Continuation Breakout After High-Momentum Pause

GMBREW
This is a classic momentum stock doing a healthy reset and now resuming the next leg up. Very clean structure 👌 🧠 What the Chart is Telling Us 🔹 Phase 1: Vertical Expansion (Leader Move) Strong impulse from ₹720 → ₹1,250 Wide candles + high volume → institutional entry EMA(26,52) bullish crossover happened early → trend established 🔹 Phase 2: Time-wise Correction (Not Price-wise) Pullback from highs without breaking structure Price respected EMA 52 Formation resembles: ✔ Cup / rounding base ✔ Falling wedge inside uptrend Volume kept drying → no distribution 👉 This is strong-hand consolidation, not weakness. 🔑 Key Levels (Very Important) Level Role ₹1,115–1,125 Breakout & trigger zone ₹1,080–1,090 Immediate support ₹1,025–1,035 EMA cluster support ₹1,320–1,335 Measured target ₹1,380 (stretch) Momentum extension 📐 Target Logic Base height ≈ ₹200 Breakout above ₹1,120 🎯 Target ≈ ₹1,320–1,330 (~18–19%) — exactly what your projection marks. 🛡️ Risk Management (Critical) Aggressive entry: Above ₹1,120 with volume Safer entry: Pullback toward ₹1,080–1,095 Invalidation: Daily close below ₹1,020 OR weekly close below EMA 52 This remains a trend trade, not a mean-reversion play. 📊 EMA Structure (Big Positive) EMA 26 > EMA 52 → bullish alignment Price reclaimed both EMAs in one candle → strength Slope of EMAs turning up again → next impulse likely

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